|
Chris Hanretty@chanret.bsky.social |
Yes, the 99% figure is from "inside" the model. If you believe the model is correct, your probability should be 99%. If you believe the model is incorrect for (reasons), then it's not 99%. The value of providing comparisons with, e.g., other elections is that it's not model dependent in the same way
2 replies 1 reposts 1 likes
|
Tom Clark
@tom-clark.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Thanks — and for such a great post
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
James Austin
@jamesdaustin.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Just to say - this is a fantastic and very clear post. Props
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes