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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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From you it truly is. Wow.
0 replies 0 reposts 11 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮@joshuafoust.com |
2582 followers 664 following 799 posts
Assistant Professor at Syracuse. I study video games, public relations, military esports, gender theory, and where they intersect. Happily 🏳️🌈. Recovering PR flack, national security journalist, think tanker and NGO exec.
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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From you it truly is. Wow.
0 replies 0 reposts 11 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Thank you. It’s so demoralizing to see people eagerly embrace such bad-faith panic.
1 replies 0 reposts 47 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Anyway, I’m out. I tried beating back the ocean on Afghanistan, Snowden, Yemen, etc. It’s not worth it. I truly hope this doesn’t end in disaster but it feels more likely than ever. We have self destructed because some rich people on TV had a panic attack after a debate. Good for us.
7 replies 39 reposts 228 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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It’s been weird as hell to see liberals mobilize, from donors to commentators, from celebrities to newspaper editors, to push Biden off-stage but they still can’t manage a coherent message against Trump or even talk about his fascist nonsense that much. Sort of speaks to priorities, you know?
4 replies 34 reposts 200 likes
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Neil Lewis, Jr.
@neillewisjr.bsky.social
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The amount of confident opinions being expressed in this situation (relative to the information available) has been making me think a lot about this paper.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29094960/
4 replies 9 reposts 52 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Neat. 9 in two whole weeks. A veritable tidal wave. Only 278 to go and then we’ll finally solve the problem of defeating Trump forever.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Silly goose = flirting close to a state licensing board censure
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Sure, and if Jesus returns in glory to judge the living and the dead none of this will matter. But I’m sticking with things we can prove and suggest the magic 8-ball approach leads to overreaction and needless chaos.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Plenty of Republicans called on Trump to step down in 2016 and he won. None called on Clinton to drop out and she led by +6 and still lost. I think you’re putting far too much weight into these things than is warranted.
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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6 out of 217 is hardly a groundswell, though. It’s like 2% of the elected House members and less than 1% when you count senators. Surely something supposedly felt by everyone would have some sort of evidence beyond vibes and whispers?
2 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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A consistent principle emerging the last 2 weeks is just how badly out of touch the mainstream media and party elites are from the bulk of people in the country. Some kind of feared shift to Trump isn’t happening, and the screaming about a shift will be self-fulfilling. They are incepting a crisis.
4 replies 11 reposts 52 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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There is zero evidence anyone is ditching Biden for Trump or RFK, in other words. As the polling bears out.
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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You forget that Trump was on stage too and most people who saw both had a stronger reaction against Trump. Pretending that Trump is this motionless natural force we must work against, instead of a deeply unpopular figure who is even less able to speak or move under scrutiny, should moderate that.
1 replies 0 reposts 11 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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And while the steady drumbeat of bad stories will probably affect that further (it’s why there is so much criticism) there is no measurable evidence that the party is “turning” on him apart from whisper campaigns no one can verify. The endless yelling is self-fulfilling but in response to nothing.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Right so if it didn’t change intention to vote then it’s measuring different things. “Will I vote for him” and “is he older than I’d prefer” are not equivalent concepts to test against each other.
2 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Yeah I mean I fully expect the last two weeks of unhinged screeching by the commentariat to move the needle, it’s just worth repeating that the debate itself did not, at least not measurably.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Did you read that piece above? Because this doesn’t refute its argument and it’s worthwhile to try not defaulting into snap popularity measurements.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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These AI services talk a big game about what they do and how they provide value but then they use the language of conmen to actually explain features. I can't trust a model that is only 90% confident it summarized a paper accurately. That is a failure condition demanding scrutiny, not a feature.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Elicit was an interesting effort to make searching articles more efficient as Google Scholar decays into nonsense. But they just added a confidence tracker using unknown metrics and locked it behind a paywall. What is the value of only a 90% confidence and who on earth would not check that anyway?
1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Play out not okay out. BOO APPLE
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Yep exactly
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Let’s stick to the text, since that’s what I’m discussing here. This op-ed was not about “some people,” it was about George Clooney changing his mind at some point in the last two weeks. Everyone is entitled to change their minds, but to make it public policy you owe us deeper explanation than this.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I mean, the snap polls after the debate mostly showed Trump getting higher unfavorables, not Biden. This really does look like an elite panic, not a social one.
2 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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What can and probably will change voter preferences is the relentlessly negative drumbeat of media coverage — which can and will shift public opinion through the sheer volume and inescapability of message. That’s why we’re seeing this okay out in the press and not among voters.
2 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I was shocked to see that same guy today accusing others of delusional thinking. People really have been broken by their own savviness.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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The claim that “everyone saw the debate and turned on Biden” seems to be entirely a narrow phenomenon of only a segment of the elite, the same ones sucking all the oxygen out of the room to discuss anything else. I have yet to see a single poll showing him drop out of the margin of error.
4 replies 7 reposts 30 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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The president can break laws now, what are we even doing
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Only, let's respond to what was said, rather than assuming something that wasn't. Clooney writes that he thought Biden was too frail to run at the fundraiser he hosted for him, but then waited until now to speak up about it. That isn't new info developing over time, it's motivated reasoning.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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This style of "research" is basically that Harvard Ash Center piece on AI and polling from last month, which is absolutely affecting how current polls are structured and analyzed. Asking a computational black box to replicate prior survey results is not research, and yet that is what these are.
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Shiv Ramdas
@nameshiv.bsky.social
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Gonna keep banging this drum- it was always on the cards after he came out as the most pro labour president of the 21st century, and probably my lifetime. Of course the corporate shill wing of the party want him gone and of course the leftmost part of it recognise how good he's been for their causes
8 replies 109 reposts 390 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I don’t get why "contradictory and self-refuting” isn’t something that is caught during editing, but then again I take editing seriously and think it should improve pieces not just throw knives at the assigned scapegoat
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Like, the man cannot decide whether Biden being old is "new and upsetting information" tantamount to being convicted of 34 felonies, or whether he knew that all along but lied to a room of rich donors while collecting $30 million for Biden three weeks ago. A good editor would have caught this.
1 replies 1 reposts 5 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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The audacity to write these things and make this comparison in a piece where you say you raised $30 million for a man three weeks ago but were silent about what you thought of his health until the tide turned.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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And claimed that he was on stage raising $30 million for a man he thought was unfit and shouldn't be there but never spoke up. His judgment was either off then or it's off now, and if it was off then he owes us an explanation for why his judgment is correct now, not just vibes and "dude is old, man"
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I think it speaks poorly of Clooney's character to stand on stage and eagerly hustle up $30 million for someone you then turn around and declare that person unfit to hold office. His judgment either failed then or failed now, and if it failed then he owes us an explanation for why he's right now.
1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I'm pretty sure there are unflattering reasons for why the paper of record is not reporting on this and related topics fairly 😒
0 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I have zero issues with his advocating for his wife, and it was insane that placing Amal on a sanctions list was ever remotely possible. But that really does change what he's calling for and why, and withholding that from readers is fundamentally dishonest.
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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That is, if we are to be fair and bring facts to the public without fear or favor. The problem is, Kingsbury, the opinion editor, does neither.
1 replies 0 reposts 11 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I do not judge Clooney for that, I think he was right to do so and the White House was wrong to even hint at sanctioning Amal Clooney for being a lawyer. But having a close family member implicated in the outcome of the race really does place a different frame for his calling on Biden to withdraw.
3 replies 1 reposts 22 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I dunno, it seems relevant that last month Clooney begged the White House to not sanction his wife over her participation in the ICC case against Israel. But that would soften the criticism and place it into context, which editor Kathleen Kingsbury simply does not consider part of her ethical duty.
2 replies 19 reposts 59 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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hmm
2 replies 1 reposts 10 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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"Among other things, the law stipulates that contracts can’t include or allow for tuition sharing and can’t grant an OPM ownership over faculty members’ intellectual property." Minnesota's Democratic trifecta continues to do great things for the state.
0 replies 9 reposts 13 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Just so we're clear: media executives can choose to not talk about this. "We don't take a stance on the president and we'll do our best to cover the race fairly" is the adult response. "I will work to elect someone who embraces my consolidating an industry" is a tantrum of a statement.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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It's fascinating that after the hundreds of millions of dollars Zaslav has set on fire through reckless consolidation he thinks the answer is more, and will thumb CNN's coverage of the election to make sure the next president won't enforce anti-trust laws. Just fascinating.
1 replies 0 reposts 10 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Ahhhhhhh this is cursed
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Woof
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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AP: ‘This is break glass in case of emergency stuff': Analysts alarmed by threats to US data gathering
1 replies 51 reposts 120 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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Strongly endorse this analysis. The suggestion that dropping out is relatively cost-free because of Kamala Harris just being accepted as the replacement strikes me as dangerously naive.
0 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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I didn’t say worthless I said a poor indicator. I think we have several years of that being the case.
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Joshua Foust 🪖🎮
@joshuafoust.com
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But my point is Clinton was meeting those conditions and she lost. So, why should we adhere to it? We’ve had tons of evidence that polling is a poor indicator of electoral performance. Why does it only apply to Biden?
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes