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Zeke Hausfather@hausfath.bsky.social |
Finally, with the first six months of data in for the year, I now estimate that there is an approximately 95% chance that 2024 beats 2023 to be the warmest year since global surface temperature records began in the mid-1800s:
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Zeke Hausfather
@hausfath.bsky.social
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Here are how the projections of 2024 have evolved as each new month of data has come in. The unusually high June temperatures played a big role in pushing up the projections for the full year:
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