Josie Duffy Rice's avatar

Josie Duffy Rice

@jduffyrice.bsky.social

The variable is low motivation party voters, not mid to high motivation swing voters

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Non-existent Patricia's avatar Non-existent Patricia @nonexistpatricia.bsky.social
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Isn't this more or less how 2016 shook out? (Trump activated low propensity voters and Clinton couldn't hold the Obama coalition - but Obama probably also activated low propensity voters and those voters may not be transferable)

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Josie Duffy Rice's avatar Josie Duffy Rice @jduffyrice.bsky.social
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This is me agreeing with you

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