Judah Grunstein's avatar

Judah Grunstein

@judah-grunstein.bsky.social

2. Labour held steady in total votes, but combined with the fractured vote on the right, won a historic parliamentary majority. This is in line with trends elsewhere in Europe. The far right rises and wins when the center-left atomizes (Italy, France) and falls short when it holds (Spain, Portugal).

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Mike Charlton's avatar Mike Charlton @thelongview.bsky.social
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Agree that 2029 could be very interesting, especially if the Conservatives and Reform morph. That said, the age demographics of both parties are not playing in their favour.

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Judah Grunstein's avatar Judah Grunstein @judah-grunstein.bsky.social
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3. I'd been thinking with relief that the UK was bucking the trend of a rising radicalized far right. But I think that was premature. And Labour inherits a catastrophic landscape for governance. It will take near-perfect leadership and a lot of luck to get this right. Otherwise 2029 could be scary.

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