Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf 's avatar

Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf

@rahmstorf.bsky.social

We do understand the #globalwarming caused by fossil fuels - for four decades it’s been going as predicted. But we don’t understand the surprise upward leap that is happening now. And that worries me.

19 replies 428 reposts 874 likes


Leo's avatar Leo @leodreieck.bsky.social
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The sad part: even if 2023 is just a statistical anomaly (let’s hope…) and we return to the “regular” path next year, people will still use it as a false proof for “how can there be global warming if this year is much cooler than last year🤡”

0 replies 1 reposts 5 likes


OldSkool's avatar OldSkool @oldskool.bsky.social
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The fact that you scientists worry worries me even more. 😳

0 replies 1 reposts 30 likes


Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf 's avatar Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social
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Here a reminder of the longer term perspective on atmospheric CO2 and temperature since the birth of Christ.

1 replies 42 reposts 134 likes


Torsten Grieger's avatar Torsten Grieger @torstengrieger.grieger.de
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Bitte sagen Sie es dem selbsternannten Klimakanzler Olaf Scholz, dem Verkehrswende-Ausbrems-Minister Volker Wissing und Typen wie Dürr, Kuhle und Lindner sowie Merz und Söder noch einmal ganz laut und deutlich, dass Ihnen das ernsthaft Sorgen macht! Danke!

1 replies 2 reposts 31 likes


's avatar @vincentpyrmont.bsky.social
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Ich bin zwar kein Klimawissenschaftler, aber grob skizziert sehe ich da leider eine exponentielle Entwicklung. Den Sprung von den letzten drei Jahren dürfte Corona erklären.

1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes


Martin Wermuth's avatar Martin Wermuth @martinwermuth.bsky.social
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Aerosol termination shock, together with La Nina gone, lower cloudcover and El Nino about to start? Last point is actually not relevant yet, I guess. Just a reason to be extremely worried (the word "extremely" feels on some orders of magnitude too weak, actually)

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Rolf Grießhammer's avatar Rolf Grießhammer @dacapo12.bsky.social
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Können wir denn voraussetzen, dass sich die Dinge immer so entwickeln, wie es mathematische Modelle voraussagen?

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PrimateParty's avatar PrimateParty @emaronde.bsky.social
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Well, it it not a linear process, but an exponential now. Due to a lot of synergisms with other linear processes. My guess. (As such, probably not predictable).

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Sacha Spector, PhD's avatar Sacha Spector, PhD @sachaspector.bsky.social
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Prof Rahmstorf, how analogous is this year’s spike to the 1998 spike that stood for several years as an outlier above the trend?

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Daniel's avatar Daniel @danielrembrandt.bsky.social
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We do understand it. It’s the removal of sulphur from shipping emissions.

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The Cynical Axolotl's avatar The Cynical Axolotl @cynicalaxolotl.bsky.social
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Tipping Points have tipped.

0 replies 0 reposts 6 likes


Andrea Spieker's avatar Andrea Spieker @andreaspieker.bsky.social
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I wonder it doesn‘t worry everybody more, because it scares the hell out of me.

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Ralph's avatar Ralph @ralphpfannkuche.bsky.social
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Was würde Jemand mit wenig Expertise und großer Flughöhe sagen? Da wurden mutmaßlich einer oder mehrere Kipppunkte überschritten? Schleichend, vielleicht ein paar Jahre früher. Durch El Niño jetzt offensichtlich, wie ein Brennglas-Booster in 2023. Die Strömungsverhältnisse in den Weltmeeren?

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Alex Friebel 's avatar Alex Friebel @sants.bsky.social
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Are there any hypothesis about the actual upward leap?

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Harald Crepaz's avatar Harald Crepaz @crepazharald.bsky.social
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The recent rise might partly be attributed to the decrease in sulfur dioxide emissions from shipping, leading to greater absorption of radiation and boosting the Earth's energy equilibrium.

0 replies 3 reposts 8 likes


Annette Kreutzfeldt 💚🇪🇺🇺🇦🇮🇱🎗🏳️‍🌈's avatar Annette Kreutzfeldt 💚🇪🇺🇺🇦🇮🇱🎗🏳️‍🌈 @akreutzfeldt.bsky.social
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😳

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Michael Burchert's avatar Michael Burchert @michaelburchert.bsky.social
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Who is surprised?

1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes


Paul McGhee's avatar Paul McGhee @pmcghee.bsky.social
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Is anyone looking at the effects of warfare, including, say, the Nordstream pipeline destruction, on the short-term changes?

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alvin's avatar alvin @alvin1967.bsky.social
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Efecto acumulativo ? Ya no hay buffer y se fue de control ... .

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