|
Simon Donner@simondonner.bsky.social |
We analysed the likelihood of the event with and without climate change. Here's a figure from the paper, showing the coral heat stress from late summer 2005 for the study region. At the time, attribution studies were new, so the work took us about a year to complete! www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
|
|
Simon Donner
@simondonner.bsky.social
[ View ] |
We found the 2005 event would be exceedingly rare, a >1000 year event, without the effects of climate change... but that it would become commonplace in 20-30 years unless we shift to a ~2 C or less warming trajectory. Well, it's now almost 20 years.
0 replies 1 reposts 6 likes