Stephen Webb's avatar

Stephen Webb

@stephenwebb.bsky.social

35/ so, in conclusion, biden could lose and i could be wrong and in that case having a bunch of people on bluesky tell me "i told you so" is the least of my concerns. but the trump team has a lot of ground to make up to improve on 2020, and a lot of headwinds of their own making. fin/

6 replies 25 reposts 149 likes


Rowan's avatar Rowan @voidcritter.bsky.social
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Do you have a explanation for nearly every poll going Trump's way

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Greg M's avatar Greg M @gregmachlin.bsky.social
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Great thread. Very sensible. Hoping and praying you’re right.

1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes


's avatar @revrickucc.bsky.social
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I appreciate your thoughtful analysis of the hidden dynamics. The possibility that Trump could be dragged down by Trumpy state candidates would be such poetic justice.

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Jung Choi "I dissent!"'s avatar Jung Choi "I dissent!" @jung-gt.bsky.social
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Thank you! I hope/pray your analysis is correct.

1 replies 0 reposts 17 likes


Kalil's avatar Kalil @kalilchernov.bsky.social
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Thanks; I definitely needed a non-doomer thread. I'd add: the most optimistic thing is... While the downside risk of this election is insanely high, the upside is that if we do indeed win, there's a really good chance the fever finally breaks.

1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes


Mr Dr Bae's avatar Mr Dr Bae @dallas-taylor.bsky.social
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Thank you for this.

1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes