Andrew Dessler

Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co [ View ] Jul 09, 2024 at 10:38 UTC

"there’s nothing the “we’ll adapt” crowd is less interested in than paying to help people adapt" 👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽👏🏽

0 replies 15 reposts 52 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 09, 2024 at 19:09 UTC

As the hurricane came through the region, I got an extreme heat warning. That’s Texas! And climate change!

0 replies 2 reposts 7 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 09, 2024 at 14:00 UTC

Nice article in @texasmonthly by @peterjholley about Beryl and the climate challenge for Texas
www.texasmonthly.com...

0 replies 2 reposts 6 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 08, 2024 at 18:17 UTC

Fun thermodynamics fact: if you want your house to be 75F and the outside temperature rises from 96F to 100F, your air conditioner will consume 42% more power.

2 replies 10 reposts 27 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 08, 2024 at 17:35 UTC

I was OK with facial recognition until they started using it on cattle.

0 replies 0 reposts 7 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 08, 2024 at 15:31 UTC

Can we air condition our way out of extreme heat? A primer on air conditioning from The Climate Brink
www.theclimatebrink....

2 replies 22 reposts 51 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 06, 2024 at 20:10 UTC

Nice article in The Conversation from Prof. Brian Tang on rapid intensification of hurricanes and how this connects to climate change.
theconversation.com/...

0 replies 30 reposts 48 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 05, 2024 at 01:43 UTC

I just pulled my car into my garage and ran over a rat. How's your day going?

6 replies 0 reposts 8 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 04, 2024 at 18:20 UTC

We wrote about this on The Climate Brink: www.theclimatebrink.com/p/which-was-...

0 replies 1 reposts 4 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 04, 2024 at 18:20 UTC

Anyone who thinks that temperatures in the 1930s were as high as today's is confusing global temperatures with temperatures in the U.S., which makes up 2% of the surface area of the globe. Globally, the 1930s were much much cooler than today.

1 replies 19 reposts 60 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 04, 2024 at 00:57 UTC

yes, that's the wrong link, sorry. here's the right one: www.theclimatebrink.com/p/climate-ch...

1 replies 2 reposts 6 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 03, 2024 at 19:01 UTC

If you want to see more about successful predictions, watch this (now a bit dated) talk by Ray Pierrehumbert
youtu.be/RICBu_P8JWI?...

1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 03, 2024 at 19:00 UTC

Let's review the successful predictions from the climate denial community:

1 replies 0 reposts 8 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 03, 2024 at 18:58 UTC

This is yet another demonstration of the power and success of climate science. Successful predictions like this demonstrate that we understand something fundamental about the climate system. In fact, climate science is a parade of successful predictions.

1 replies 14 reposts 48 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 03, 2024 at 18:58 UTC

Then the monstrous Beryl comes along, the strongest every July Atlantic storm.

bmcnoldy.blogspot.com

1 replies 0 reposts 9 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 03, 2024 at 18:57 UTC

Re: #HurricaneBeryl. Here's what I think is the most important thing to remember:

For *literally* months, the scientific community has been saying, "Look out everyone, the sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic are really hot. Hurricane season could be intense."

1 replies 11 reposts 35 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 02, 2024 at 17:59 UTC

the preponderance of evidence is that tropical cyclone numbers will decline. however, we don't have a good theory for what processes regulate the number of TCs, so it's hard to have confidence in that result. but it is robustly true that the TCs that do form will be more destructive.

1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 02, 2024 at 15:56 UTC

I've written about all of this here:
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/climate-ch...

1 replies 1 reposts 10 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 02, 2024 at 15:55 UTC

The only real uncertainty is how climate change will affect the *number* of these storms. There is significant uncertainty in both the magnitude and sign of the change, but most of the evidence suggests fewer tropical cyclones.

2 replies 0 reposts 9 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 02, 2024 at 15:55 UTC

Quick update on how hurricanes (tropical cyclones) are affected by climate change. Hurricanes that form will be: 1) more intense 2) bring more rain 3) bring higher storm surge

1 replies 7 reposts 16 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 27, 2024 at 23:37 UTC

Humanity has done well by burning fossil fuels and dumping CO2 into the atmosphere. This is like running up a big credit card debt: it’s great while you’re doing it, but eventually the bill comes due.

The growing carbon debt, by @hausfath.bsky.social

www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-growin...

0 replies 8 reposts 26 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 26, 2024 at 03:01 UTC

I have not read the study. But I did read the news article and my guess is that they’re measuring an Earth System Sensitivity rather than what we normally call climate sensitivity. ESS contains factors not included in climate sensitivity. This could explain why they’re getting higher numbers.

0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 24, 2024 at 19:52 UTC

Climate change is making all of this extreme weather more extreme: the heat will be worse and the rain will be more intense. The cherry on top is that more extreme rain will make any flooding worse.

0 replies 12 reposts 16 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 23, 2024 at 17:59 UTC

We get PowerPoint slides with a somnolent voice track

1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 23, 2024 at 17:18 UTC

that's hilarious!

1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 23, 2024 at 17:15 UTC

I suppose there are people out there who take this training and say "I had no idea ...". I may not be the target demographic that they're really trying to reach.

0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 23, 2024 at 16:59 UTC

follow up to: bsky.app/profile/andr...

2 replies 0 reposts 6 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 23, 2024 at 16:58 UTC

Mandatory Univ. training modules are not a waste of time at all.

9 replies 4 reposts 32 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 22, 2024 at 16:18 UTC

To everyone who thinks Hunga Tonga volcanic eruption is responsible for any extreme rain event, let's run the numbers: 1) HT injected 30 billion gal. into the atmosphere 2) spread that over, say, Houston, and it's 0.2 inches of rain No, HT is not causing extreme rain.

2 replies 4 reposts 27 likes

Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 21, 2024 at 16:22 UTC

regardless of how many legs you have, it's still "show your stripes" day!

0 replies 3 reposts 16 likes