In a new paper lead by Ben Schlüter, we estimated about *1.2 million* youth (<18y) in the US have lost a parent due to drugs or guns since 1999. In 2020, drugs and guns accounted for about one in four parental deaths — about double the proportion in 1999.
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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Thanks Seth! Nice thing about SDID is that it is already efficient relative to SC and DID and we have some very precise estimates. But in cases where we don't have as generous a donor pool or noisier pre-period covariates (to a point) can make a difference
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They can give a closer match between T&C in the pre-period, but the estimated treatment effect is often sensitive to covariate choice—increasing researcher degrees of freedom and thus decreasing transparency. Better I think to just match on outcomes whenever possible (or pre-commit to covariates)
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Thank you so much! The command allows for them but I couldn't figure out a good reason to use them!
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Hey #econsky!
Quick question - are covariates needed in synthetic difference-in-differences? My intuition is that if one assumes conditional parallel trends (PT) in a TWFE world, then the answer is no (since SDID imposes PT).
But are there other situations where you might want covariates?
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That's a great story. The editor in our case made the same call - but we still spend so much time on it!
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One other point here: why did such a flawed critique lead to months of stress+wasted time for us?
Critiques like this exist because take-downs, especially of "politicized" topics, are in and are celebrated publicly.
This sad scientific culture means extra effort is needed to clear one's name.
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Listening to BUSPH's Andrew Stokes present on his work on COVID-19 mortality undercounting. I am so impressed with what he & his colleagues have accomplished & proud of my tiny contribution.
It seems like such a basic right- to know what is killing people. To have your family know what killed you.
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Here is our response to a recent critique of our 2018 paper on police killings+mental health.
The critique had obvious problems, but nevertheless instigated a formal investigation (which we passed). This was stressful. I am posting because our reply could be useful for teaching:
osf.io/v72q6
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Lee bounds in practice: today's post covers how to use covariates, what to do when your outcome is binary or has ties, issues using Lee bounds with LATE, how to discuss the bounds if they include an opposite sign effect, and other practical issues...
blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
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Thank you! I really appreciate that. Even though we were in the right here, I felt a sense of shame about this whole thing (and the paper as a whole) and just wanted it to go away.
But we can't have open science without some discomfort I suppose. Hopefully the "take-down" mindset will stop.
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Firearms are now the #1 cause of US youth deaths (displacing car accidents). But WHO is dying?
We show:
Black youth firearm deaths have been rising in RURAL AREAS for >1 decade;
Since 2018, Black rural youth have matched Black urban youth
This is new
www.nejm.org/doi/full/10....
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WOW....
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Here is our response to a recent critique of our 2018 paper on police killings+mental health.
The critique had obvious problems, but nevertheless instigated a formal investigation (which we passed). This was stressful. I am posting because our reply could be useful for teaching:
osf.io/v72q6
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#wage #inequality in #healthcare (CPS ASEC)
Also see:
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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We are *thrilled* to announce #SHESG2024, hosted by @sebastiantt.bsky.social, @chrisruhm.bsky.social, and Lee Lockwood of the UVA Batten School of Public Policy. The conference is Nov 1-2 in Charlottesville, VA. Abstracts are due by Jun 30. See more 👇
batten.virginia.edu/conference/S...
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A revised version of the NBER w.p. has now been published (with a different title) in the JHE.
authors.elsevier.com/a/1iuw1c7LGC...
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Friends in Philadelphia & Delaware, I'll present my research tomorrow (Thursday) at U of Delaware and next Tuesday at @uofpenn.bsky.social. It'd be great to meet there. I really look forward to these events. Thanks for the invite to @danielk24.bsky.social and @morenstein.bsky.social. Details below.
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New validated measure of administrative burden tolerance w data from 7 countries.
Older adults, better educated and those in poorer health more opposed to burdens. Conservatives and those with high trust in govt more tolerant of burdens.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
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NYC Health Econ Day is coming to NYU Stern May 3! We'll have four great paper presentations with lots of time for folks to chat.
RSVP here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
More info: www.stern.nyu.edu/experience-s...
Organizers: Amy Bond, Sunita Desai, Mike Dickstein, Laura Wherry + me
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This is an important and compelling special issue of the Journal of Human Resources focused on child mental health and edited by Janet Currie.
jhr.uwpress.org/page/child-m...
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In medicine - where the stakes are high - there is an empathetic culture around mistakes, one that supports those who make them while fostering learning for everyone.
In social science work - where the stakes are not high - people who make mistakes face hectoring, public take-downs.
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A few studies find that personal earnings inequality (finally) declined in the US from 2010-2022. But, a twist: household income inequality continued to climb. What explains the discordant inequality trends? @lukaslehner.bsky.social, @natewilmers.bsky.social, and I try to answer this Q in a new WP:
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Glad to hear you are ok! You're a rare one - great researcher with a fantastic sense of humor.
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Thanks for sending me this! Such great teaching material!
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#econsky - has anyone written out collider bias in simple mathematical terms (e.g., not as a DAG)? This is for a class.
Thanks!
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