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Avishay Ben-Sasson-Gordis@avishaybsg.bsky.social |
What significance if any do national poll averages have?
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@havokle.bsky.social
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They are good for posting.
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Wool-Encased Tea Addict
@passeriform.bsky.social
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I am not confident in them
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ol tonyo
@fraustian.bsky.social
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They're correlated with the state polls enough that it gives you some information. Biden's numbers in CA will be better than a national poll but his numbers in South Dakota worse. In the past couple of elections the Dem has needed to be +4 or so nationally to win.
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