Ian Bond

Glyn Moody @glynmoody.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 13:03 UTC

"A Trump Presidency might also facilitate a broader UK-EU rapprochement, particularly if Britain feels isolated and squeezed by the economic hit from a Trump trade war and the EU’s own response to it. Many in the EU are also likely to think that Britain should be kept as close as possible." #brexit

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 12:26 UTC

Thanks. I don't know him, but he seems toxic. Some of the other signatories I know; some I even regard as friends. But on this issue I profoundly disagree with them, and felt I had to say so.

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 12:24 UTC

Excellent piece by my colleague @lscazzieri.bsky.social on the implications for the EU & UK, & for their relations with each other, if Trump becomes US president again.

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 09, 2024 at 20:06 UTC

Not convinced Biden can or shd be doing the world's most burdensome job aged 81, but there's a hugely unfair gulf between the intense scrutiny he gets over the role of his family & the light-touch approach to Trump's problematic mixing of official & family business: www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cg...

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 09, 2024 at 12:31 UTC

On the eve of the #NATOSummit, reposting my April piece on Ukraine. UA has had more help since then, but W leaders are still too worried about Russia's possible defeat, & not nearly worried enough about its possible victory. Europe's security depends on Ukraine's success. www.cer.eu/publications...

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 05, 2024 at 11:06 UTC

A fair point!

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 05, 2024 at 07:19 UTC

I think this sober take is correct. After initial relief we no longer have to live through daily Tory psychodrama, the focus will shift to all the problems - including the fact that Reform, with its simplistic populist ‘solutions’ to complex problems, got ~15% of the vote; & that turnout was v low.

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 04, 2024 at 10:56 UTC

Some weekend reading for the UK's new government: my colleague @aslak.bsky.social, on the UK's economic need for dynamic alignment with the EU, and some options for achieving it.

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 01, 2024 at 18:51 UTC

Never has Franklin's comment on the government of the US - "A republic, if you can keep it" - seemed so apt. After 234 years of the US as a constitutional republic, SCOTUS has decided that monarchy was a great idea after all. Speaking as a Brit, this seems a retrograde step.

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 01, 2024 at 11:44 UTC

I certainly don't take that for granted. But that's something the UK & European allies need to do regardless of improvements in UK-EU relations - it's just that integrating the UK into EU defence industrial initiatives should enable the money to be spent more effectively.

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 01, 2024 at 10:18 UTC

Pleased to contribute to this pre-election guide to reshaping the EU-UK relationship. In the foreign & security policy area, a good start would be to take the political declaration agreed in 2019 alongside the Withdrawal Agreement, & implement it fully.

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 28, 2024 at 16:41 UTC

My new colleague @zecsaky.bsky.social opens her @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social
account with a dive into the impact on the EU of Hungary's Council Presidency, which starts on July 1st. Conclusions: the practical damage HU can do is limited, but it can still stall progress in some areas.

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 27, 2024 at 16:02 UTC

With this excellent piece on how the EU & China can make progress on emissions reductions without necessarily having to co-operate, my colleague @christina-kessler.bsky.social signs off as the 2023-2024 Clara Marina O'Donnell fellow at @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social .

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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 27, 2024 at 13:02 UTC

A must-read piece. Someone should make sure it gets into the boxes of incoming ministers in the next UK government.

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