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Cyneheard

@cyneheard.bsky.social

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CJ 🏳️‍🌈🤘's avatar CJ 🏳️‍🌈🤘 @nemobluecrj.bsky.social
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Because if they admit that's the *real* story—the story of the century, even!—then they'd have to admit that they are playing a pivotal role in helping them successfully pull it off, and they will literally come up with ANYTHING to keep from ever holding themselves accountable like that.

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Reposted by Cyneheard

CJ 🏳️‍🌈🤘's avatar CJ 🏳️‍🌈🤘 @nemobluecrj.bsky.social
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What way too many people are failing to understand is that this isn't REALLY about Biden's age & well-being; it's about the media being desperate to come up with something, anything!, to keep the focus away from the GOP's direct attack on our democracy. They don't want *that* to be the story.

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Reposted by Cyneheard

CJ 🏳️‍🌈🤘's avatar CJ 🏳️‍🌈🤘 @nemobluecrj.bsky.social
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I fully believe that this media-led panic over Biden's fitness for office will simply shift over to Harris ... and there will be an equally frenzied media-led panic over *her* fitness & preparedness for office.

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Reposted by Cyneheard

J. P. Gownder (கவுண்டர்) ☮️🕊️🏳️‍🌈 's avatar J. P. Gownder (கவுண்டர்) ☮️🕊️🏳️‍🌈 @jgownder.bsky.social
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I don't know. The NYT (aside from your excellent work on the op-ed page) seems intent upon whitewashing and normalizing Trump. It seems very calculated and overt.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Prime Time is Chaotic. Rules are for other people, not Prime Time. Bernie breaks the rules when he thinks it's the right call, and follows them when he thinks that's the right call. That's the definition of Neutral-Sanders.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Harris has also handled her first crisis - this past week - very well.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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If King Charles can find a website on his phone, I'd be impressed.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Sorry, as an ex-Virginian I apologize for us having multiple Warners.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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They took a while to fully realize what was going on. And not calling the Dem leadership until Tues/Wed was malpractice. That's not "toss the nominee" territory.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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It's half as useful to Trump as a vote for Trump.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Forcing out the party's candidate at the last minute because he might slip up is not reducing risk.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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In some ways it's harder because all that background noise. He's handling the questions just fine.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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She told a story in '23 that went viral this week: "[My mother] would give us a hard time sometimes, and she would say to us, ‘I don’t know what’s wrong with you young people. You think you just fell out of a coconut tree?’ You exist in the context of all in which you live and what came before you”

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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I have a real hard time taking anyone who makes that argument as a good-faith actor. I know how many times I’ve changed my mind on “Biden or Harris” this week. But if it’s a close call, then stick with our guy. He’s gotten us this far.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Million, billion and trillion get mixed up constantly by, uh, everyone who talks about those numbers. If this is all they’ve got?

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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But if they built a statue in your honor, you would accept, of course.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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“Biden finally listened to us, got a ceasefire, and THEN you got rid of him?”

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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The administration has been, for better or worse, deeply involved in a lot of this. If he gets the blame for everything Bibi does, he gets the credit when it works too. And "Joe gets a ceasefire, only to immediately be pushed out as the nominee two seconds later" would...not go well.

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Reposted by Cyneheard

chatham harrison is tending a new garden's avatar chatham harrison is tending a new garden @chathamharrison.bsky.social
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A Gaza peace deal would be extremely politically useful on top of being extremely good for the millions suffering. Let us pray that combination gets results

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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And Obama knowing that he's better long-term if he's got a consistent and reasonable schedule. He was also very disciplined about offloading decisions where possible - like minimum variation in the suits he wore (tan suit excepted).

www.fastcompany.com/3026265/alwa...

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Reposted by Cyneheard

b-boy bouiebaisse's avatar b-boy bouiebaisse @jbouie.bsky.social
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really great that prominent political journalists won’t just say that trump is lying and here’s why

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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The ABC interview (and the reaction) will be telling. Either he can calm the party's nerves or he can't.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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I know one of the delegates well enough to say that the answer for that one in particular is "no."

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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"I don't know the answer to that question" is in many ways worse.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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"If the bus stop replaces two parking spots, how will my customers get here?"

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Overturned In Name Only, the Roberts Special

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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You'd basically have to have "13 SCOTUS Justices by July 2025, as Bragg appeals the lower court's order for a new trial in NY under Trump v US" for it to get explicitly overturned, or similarly a fight over the J6 trial in that same universe.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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The Greens tried to win 4 seats, and got all of them. What happens if they go for 100 in 5 years?

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Corbyn won his seat as an Independent, he's got a job.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Last-minute disorganized tactical voting from the right?

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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What about adapting Germany's MMP system? - Have the 5% threshold for PR seats be separate for each of England/Scotland/Wales/NI - Probably 13 "regions" for MMP lists. ~10 in England, 1-2 in Scotland, 1 each for Wales/NI - Still have an MP for your specific constituency. Independents can still win

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Strange women distributing swords have no proper place in government either.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Pro-Palestinian, but that wouldn't be prudent.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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The 25th was de facto re-interpreted for a day to have the "principal officers" be "Nancy Pelosi and Gen. Milley." It was what the country needed, but it wasn't by following the typical chain of command.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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It is in seats, but it won't be because Labour gained millions of votes, more that the Tories lost them (heavily to Reform, but certainly to the Lib Dems and Labour too). FPTP in a multiparty system can get weird.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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BBC’s updating its exit poll. They’re now saying 4. LAB 405, CON 154, LD 56, SNP 6, REF 4, PC 4, Green 2, Other 19

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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And he basically said "I've been a lazy MEP for decades" too

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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If there's no trifecta, you can't replace the VP.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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That's the detail that scares me.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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That would be the hat I'd wear if I were the candidate of the Monster Raving Loony party.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Which is also why this isn't a safe majority despite its size - they could very easily lose the majority in 2029 without losing a single vote.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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We're going to see the Tories get ~10x the seats of Reform despite both having basically 20% of the vote. As a democratic system, that's a failure. Reform getting wrecked makes me happy, but it's a clear "votes vs seats" divergence.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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The party people (meaning electeds) have been OK. They haven’t been convinced he’s fine, but they could be. The media and the donors…it’s bad. Nothing can convince them.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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Yeah, that's definitely a surprise to 2015-era me, but SNP have run into some issues in the past few years. Some corruption, some "what are we doing if IndyRef2 isn't on the horizon", some "we can vote for Labour" from the voters.

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Cyneheard's avatar Cyneheard @cyneheard.bsky.social
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If Biden says he won't be the candidate now (this is different from if he'd said in 2023 he wasn't running for re-election), the next four months will still be all about "can he even be POTUS", it doesn't help.

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