Climate scientist Uni Leeds/IIASA. Responsive climate projections. Part time runner.
The paper that describes the flexible calibration and constraining process of fair is now out in preprint form!
egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
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Great to stop by for an interview at ORF (the Austrian state broadcaster) yesterday to talk about climate change. Will be out on FM4 next Friday as part of Chris Cummins' show
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You can now install fair from conda-forge instead of my own amateurish anaconda channel!
anaconda.org/conda-forge/...
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CEDS has been updated to 2022! This is like Christmas
zenodo.org/records/1090...
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v2.1.4 of fair released! π
this fixes a minor bug in reading in species configs when either methane or aerosol-cloud interactions are not part of your model setup. Found by one of my PhD students! Test it til it breaks, folks...
github.com/OMS-NetZero/FAIR
pypi.org/project/fair/
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Hey guys, if you're involved in integrated assessment modelling or economics of climate change - including impacts models, simple climate models & the like - consider submitting to our EGU session! meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/sessio...
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Reposted by Chris Smith
Nice plot showing a latest historically constrained temperature attribution. Best estimate aerosol cooling is -0.6Β°C compensating GHGs. Large values can not be ruled out, but edge of distribution (uncertainty on natural forcing contribution is likely too tight) Source: @chrisroadmap.bsky.social
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Reposted by Chris Smith
"Having an impact is why we get out of bed in the morning."
Professor Piers Forster comments after he and Dr @chrisroadmap.bsky.social won a NERC Impact Award for their climate modelling work that has informed international emissions targets.
Read more: climate.leeds.ac.uk/news/priestl...
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Reposted by Chris Smith
Today we've published a preprint on the logic for a shift in focus towards activity-driven scenarios in CMIP7 - with emissions and land use choices as boundary conditions, not concentrations. Why? A short thread. egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
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How many independent climate models are there? (How) can we reliably estimate uncertainty in future predictions and projections of climate? Which models to select for downscaling or impact studies?
Join us at EGU24:
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/sessio...
@eurogeosciences.bsky.social
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EGU 2024 session announcement: Techniques and advances in climate economics, econometrics and integrated assessment modelling
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/sessio...
egu24.eu
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Red sky on blue sky. Sunset in Venice on Monday
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Reposted by Chris Smith
Congratulations to Dr @chrisroadmap.bsky.social and Professor Piers Forster for being amongst the 10 finalists of the 2023 NERC Impact Awards π
A superb example of research that drives climate action on the ground, which is at the heart of what we do!
Watch the finalist video youtu.be/m3_YP0yx7G8
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π
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The paper is here: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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New paper in Nature Climate Change led by Robin Lamboll
re-evaluates the remaining carbon budget for 1.5C to be half of IPCC2021 estimate. I wrote a short explainer for The Conversation: theconversation.com/carbon-budge...
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Of all the myriad horrors going on in the world right now, the Lewiston shooting feels more personal. I was at at a conference at Bates College this July. Lewiston seemed a normal, quiet, small college town. Thoughts go out to all caught up in this tragedy and their families and friends.
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Something changed in Zenodo which broke fair's automated downloading of emissions data: I had to quickly fix this last night and release v2.1.2
pypi.org/project/fair/
anaconda.org/chrisroadmap...
docs.fairmodel.net
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Reposted by Chris Smith
Why has warming accelerated? Our emissions of greenhouse gases βΒ and their accumulation in the atmosphere β have continued to increase. At the same time, we have cleaned up air pollution and reduced the planet-cooling effect of aerosols by 30% since 2005.
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Reposted by Chris Smith
I don't think it's just that economists are not engaged enough with the IPCC; too few economists have deeply engaged with climate change at all. www.nature.com/articles/s44...
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