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John Carey

@johncarey.bsky.social

51 followers 65 following 7 posts

John Carey's avatar John Carey @johncarey.bsky.social
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that's great - if they have ideas for how to improve future surveys, we want to hear them - thanks

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Debbie Schildkraut's avatar Debbie Schildkraut @debbiejsr.bsky.social
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My public opinion undergrads will be working through this report in a few weeks.

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John Carey's avatar John Carey @johncarey.bsky.social
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Please read the full report, share and post!

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Brendan Nyhan's avatar Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social
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New Bright Line Watch report brightlinewatch.org/courts-campa...

Experts also expect Trump to attempt to stay in office beyond 2029, invoke Insurrection Act, and leave NATO. Majorities of Rs approve of first two and 32% would approve him trying to stay in office past January 2029. (7/9)

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Brendan Nyhan's avatar Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social
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New Bright Line Watch report brightlinewatch.org/courts-campa...

If Trump wins, experts expect him to fire Jack Smith, pardon Jan. 6 insurrectionists, suspend ongoing prosecutions, pardon himself, and open criminal investigations into opponents. Rs overwhelming approve of these actions (6/9)

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Brendan Nyhan's avatar Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social
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New Bright Line Watch report brightlinewatch.org/courts-campa...

A majority of the public believes Biden would have been prosecuted for his handling of classified documents if he’d been someone else, including 43% of Democrats and 88% of Republicans, but just one-fifth of experts agree (5/9)

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Brendan Nyhan's avatar Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social
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New Bright Line Watch report brightlinewatch.org/courts-campa...

Fewer than half of Americans think the prosecutions of Trump are politically motivated (Rs ~80%, Ds ~25%). Experts generally don't agree – but more (40%) think the NY hush money case is. (4/9)

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Brendan Nyhan's avatar Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social
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New Bright Line Watch report brightlinewatch.org/courts-campa...

54% of the public trusts the Supreme Court to make impartial decisions in Trump-related cases. Confidence higher among Republicans (69%) than among Democrats (44%). (3/9)

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Brendan Nyhan's avatar Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social
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New Bright Line Watch report brightlinewatch.org/courts-campa...

Democrats and Republicans are polarized over disqualification from ballot and over Trump claim to criminal immunity. Overall support for immunity is lower. Experts regard immunity as a serious threat to democracy. (2/9)

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John Carey's avatar John Carey @johncarey.bsky.social
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New paper with outstanding colleagues @brian_fogarty @brendannyhan.bsky.social @jasonreifler.bsky.social - Trying to correct misperceptions about election fraud, statements from credible sources and providing basic facts both work. Factual content seems to work better. Evidence from US and Brazil.

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John Carey's avatar John Carey @johncarey.bsky.social
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This piece from Tyler Harper. Yes.

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