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Geoffrey Williams@geoffreyfw.bsky.social |
Trying to keep an eye on what’s going on in polls and checking the 538 tracker (caveat, caveat) So, their running avg shifted against Biden by 1.5 points since the debate BUT that seems to be due to polls taken BEFORE the debate OR a few pollsters who haven’t published any data for months. 1/2
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Geoffrey Williams
@geoffreyfw.bsky.social
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The only pollster that was regularly publishing and has post 6/27 data is Morning Consult which shows a 1+ move for Biden. Obviously its still early but right now no particular sign of any impact from debate, despite the move of 538’s headline numbers. 2/2
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