trump faces sentencing in less than two weeks, and while he may not get jail time, he might get home confinement — whatever it is, he's extremely unlikely to get *nothing* on more than three dozen felony counts, and every time "convicted felon" comes up, his support drops with independents
Trump will appeal his conviction for years. He will serve no time.
I would love to share your belief about independents. But I have zero faith in any adult American who is on the fence about the choices. I think they are looking for an excuse to vote for Trump. Biden just handed it to them.
the GOP at both the national and state levels are an organizational and operational shitshow, neither of them are prepared to mount a voter mobilization effort in any state, let alone any competitive state, and the trumps will still have substantial legal expenses to divert donations to