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Spenser Gwozdzik@gwozdziks.bsky.social |
7 followers 87 following 45 posts
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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idk i think we do in fact have to hand it to a system that gives the right 20% of the seats despite them having nearly twice that share of voters at least this one time lol
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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don't think he'd be an especially good pick but why fuck pritzker specifically?
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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don't remember if there was any nudity but sally walks in on roger getting a blow job from megan's mom at one point in mad men
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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fewer people working part-time because that's all they could find than pre-pandemic, too
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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the prime-age labor force participation rate is also higher than it's been in decades
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS11...
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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but have you considered that some of the liberals in their social and professional circles are very annoying?
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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if your socialism is fundamentally opposed to liberalism rather than functioning as a corrective to its insufficiencies and contradictions it probably isn't all that worthwhile to begin with tbh
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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biden won more than 53% of the two-party vote in new york state excluding nyc
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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people misuse punching down all the time too
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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that seems much less concise
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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what would you call it when centrist pols or commentators attack progressives for things very much including their support of trans rights or the Black Lives Matter movement? this isn’t like a new term it’s been around my whole adult life and has a very clear meaning even if some misapply it
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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open new york has been a vocal and consistent advocate for good cause eviction protections that the development lobby fought tooth and nail
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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would like to see a case for bush being worse that grapples with the existence of pepfar
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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mott-haven/port morris literally had the most new units built of any neighborhood within city limits last year, you have no idea what you're talking about
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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it’s actually not acceptable at all, it’s an abdication of your responsibility to your fellow human beings and morally and intellectually bankrupt the only way to prevent politicians from behaving in ways you find abhorrent is to build enough power within the coalition to force the issue
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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i am kind of am sympathetic to the idea that printing straight news that is actually reflective of reality would come across as cartoonishly biased against the republican party but that's not really an excuse not to do it
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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even in 2012 nate was on record saying he would've been deciding between romney and johnson he just wasn't established enough in his career where his understanding of the data was as clouded by his personal beliefs and values as it is now
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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what's the problem here these are just facts do we want an unbiased jury or not
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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ok but this isn’t actually true about basketball at all two of the top three seeds in the west are the wolves and the thunder who are about as different as two teams can be! the magic are a 5 seed despite not having any shooting on their entire roster!
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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would highly encourage anyone who enjoyed watching caitlin at Iowa and is upset about this to subscribe to wnba league pass - 35 bucks for the whole season!
and the more viewers the w has the better their negotiating position when their tv deal ends after the season
www.wnba.com/leaguepass
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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still don't really understand why things like losing congress and the ability to pass legislation you like, losing the ability to be president, losing the ability to operate a business, losing civil trials (and the ability to object when people call you a rapist) are not considered consequences tbh
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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"donald trump is the most consequential anti-choice extremist in american history" is a simple statement of fact that should be on every voter's minds when they fill out their ballots
0 replies 9 reposts 46 likes
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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nashville also just elected a mayor who made a big deal about refusing to talk about a new sports stadium with any interest that wasn't going to pony up the money for it
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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it's not helpful to pretend people only support trump because they're stupid, but unless you're literally jared kushner it is deeply stupid behavior plus the intellectual commitments needed to find trump acceptable also make it basically impossible to think clearly about anything else that matters
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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companies often introduce a new item at an artificially low price that they will later jack up if the item is successful, as was the case here
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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not this time around after the awful reaction i had last year
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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this doesn't really show an increase in support for republicans the party id ones seem more related to increases in being unaffiliated and the ones by race/ideology almost certainly reflect people not calling themselves conservative unless they agree with the better-defined conservative party
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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it's his day!
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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evidence is building for my completely baseless "cheryl hines is manipulating him into accidentally hurting trump in the general" conspiracy theory
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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it's also just a failure of causal reasoning to the extent there's any truth to this type of thinking, you're only endorsing the things that are different under the candidate you vote for than they would be under their opponent that's the choice set that's available whether people like it or not
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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any particular reason why you use poached chicken or just personal preference?
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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I agree there’s danger in assuming there’s a polling error in your favor but I also think there’s danger in assuming non-predictive polls are predictive and changing course based on them
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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disagree that there is an empirical answer to the question of whether Biden is losing currently because it’s not an empirical question there is no election being held between Biden and trump right now and people are terrible at predicting their own future behavior
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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you can, in fact, access that part of manhattan without paying a toll, it's incredibly easy to do so you just can't do so in your own car
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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in an ideal world it would be to admit students who would make maximize the opportunity and in turn produce the largest societal benefit but in our world where prestigious universities are engines of social reproduction it's more ensuring a beneficial mix of future elites for all parties involved
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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i think there are a small number of schools where this might occur, but i'd be surprised if this meaningfully altered incentives that already exist in such settings in the overwhelming majority of high schools in america, selective college admissions just aren't even on the radar
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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i'm not anti-standardized test scores, i just think the pendulum has swung too far toward considering them the best metric. they can help identify students who would benefit from elite education who had challenges in hs by class rank i mean in percentile terms (treating 3/40 the same as 30/400)
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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sure but if the gaming occurs through, say, a well-off student attending a low-ses school then it's much more pro-social than the typical means of gaming standardized test score or essay components
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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the point that even objectively low scores relative to the applicant pool can be helpful makes it seem like the mechanism driving this effect is assuaging biased concerns about low ses students' backgrounds i would be willing to bet most of the students in question already had elite class ranks
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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we do though, it's class rank who cares if the sat is more predictive of college grades the purpose of elite college admissions isn't and shouldn't be admitting the students who will get the best grades at a given institution
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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appreciate the caveat bc class rank is just straightforwardly a better metric than standardized test scores for all the reasons test scores are better than holistic admissions my pet peeve is folks assuming admissions offices will recontextualize it as if they aren't doing that with everything else
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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he didn't win the presidency because of his posting, he won by being a ubiquitous figure in american pop culture for decades the posting was a very small part of that
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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i guess i disagree about the function of the lines about hundreds of deaths. to me that's the best way to do what you're asking for, trying to be more explicit wouldn't do much to make the point stronger but probably would dilute the power of the particular story being told
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Spenser Gwozdzik
@gwozdziks.bsky.social
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kinda don't understand your disconnect here it's not that the killings shown in the beginning of the film are never revisited - the film never leaves them. it's always clear that this story is a part of a systemic whole didn't read the book and this all came through pretty clearly
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