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John Pfaff

@johnpfaff.bsky.social

I define a county's Dem-vs-GOP-ness by the average share of the vote the Dem POTUS candidate got from 2008-2020. I'm sure there are other ways one could do this. I'm skeptical that they would change the fundamental results here. Decarceration is local, and it's not bipartisan.

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John Pfaff's avatar John Pfaff @johnpfaff.bsky.social
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(Also, dumb typo: their share is 74% in 2009 and 78% in 2019, which has to be the case, since I also said their rate of growth was LESS than the national ave, so obv their share of the overall pop has to grow, not shrink.)

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