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John Quiggin@johnquiggin.bsky.social |
"China’s likely strategy is to overwhelm Taiwan with a massive attack with little warning, Paparo said". Yes, just assemble 100 000 troops, tanks etc with thousands of transports, in ports within easy reach of missile attack, while pretending its a New Year party. 1/2
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Kevin Donoghue
@donoghuek.bsky.social
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I'd say China's best strategy is to await a Trump presidency, or something similar in 5 or 9 years' time. Then just bribe the US to weasel out of the (rather limited) commitments it has given to Taiwan. In those circumstances China could probably get its way through intimidation.
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John Quiggin
@johnquiggin.bsky.social
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www.washingtonpost.c...
As is standard these days, attention shifts to equally impossible idea of a blockade. Given a bit more room, would admit that "blockade" in the standard sense isn't feasible either, move on to "grey zone" deniable attacks on shipping etc
2/2
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