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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Based on their historical records the Yankees have the following probabilities of Win %:
observablehq.com/@nd/yankees-...
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Nikolay Dudaev@nikdudaev.bsky.social |
28 followers 163 following 68 posts
Data Analyst, love baseball, Yankees
Run Expectancy matrices nd.observablehq.cloud/re24/
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Based on their historical records the Yankees have the following probabilities of Win %:
observablehq.com/@nd/yankees-...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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France was boring all tournament. Some call it tactics
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Calculate probabilities in which buckets of Win % team will most likely finish given current Win %, number of games and historical records, using Beta distribution.
observablehq.com/@nd/beta-dis...
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I think, Yankees fans need to prepare for the worst. This win % trajectory is even more dramatic than in 2023. Still time to turn around
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I have calculated baseball run expectancy matrices for 1912-2023 season in SQL and created a simple web app with Observable Framework to display those matrices and a couple of charts. I am quietly proud of myself, hehe
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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This could get them going, right?
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I am curious. Where I live, we have fluctuations, e.g. in June few days could be at +21-23 degrees, and next couple of days at +30-33 degrees, then back to 21-23 again for a few days, although it feels like in the past it was more stable. Are such fluctuations the result of a climate change as well?
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nixCraft
@cyberciti.biz
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If you are a new programmer, sysadmin, devops engineer, I just want you to know me and all of my colleagues with years of experience Google the most basic things *daily*
1 replies 4 reposts 13 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I read about Clemens a little bit, and I guess I understand why, given that people have to vote for him to get in
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I don’t know much about baseball, but why Mike Piazza is in HoF, but Roger Clemens is not?
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I am a Yankees yet I am annoyed about it too
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Obviously, if Yankees traded for Vladdy, he’d stop crushing baseballs
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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This is not MLB the Show, this is from Fox game 2 transmission of 1998 WS. I didn’t know these things like camera on the catcher were available back then!
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I love to wake up to a nice Yankees win, not going to lie
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I am watching Game 6 of 1996 World Series
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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It never ceases to amaze me how you can write a message to somebody without saying hi first. Straight to business. No time for being nice to people.
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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And Friday morning at work starts with multiple dashboards malfunctioning… It’s not even 9 am
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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We need 62 more games and we will know for sure
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
[ View ] |
I’ve done my first project with Observable Framework, and it is great!
I’ve calculated Run expectancy matrices for 1950-2023 seasons, using The Book as a guidance, making it available for anyone who may want use it
nd.observablehq.cloud/re24/
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I am trying it now, an it is great!
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Football can be cruel. Not as much as baseball, but still. Croatia was better, and is going home
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Oh boy, what a sequence of events in Croatia - Italy!
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I am watching Desperado, which is a totally illogical movie, but I like the visual picture of it. It was released in 1995. I was 16 then, it was 30 years ago. 30 years ago!
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Sometimes I have this weird thoughts. Like, what if baseball was played as soccer or American football. Once a week for a few months. How would it change the game?
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Baseball is a weird game.
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Feel better!
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Poland has guys from Barcelona, Arsenal, Inter, Brighton, Juventus. You’d think they should not be that bad, but yet they are. No pressing. No movement. No midfield. I don’t understand what the plan was for this game
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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I am listening to Reggie Jackson during the Rickwood game, and I am almost crying, how we people can do all of this to each other
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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#showyourstripes This is what the climate change looks like in Kraków, Poland, city where I live. It truly is fucked up
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Watching Tim Hill pitch for the Yankees, and thinking about all those pitchers in the MLB, those who are never in top leaderboards, not heroes of Pitching Ninja videos, they are rarely even mentioned anywhere, but yet they exist and play their roles quietly. Makes me sad tbh, for whatever reason.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Willie Mays passed away, and now endless discussions about who the best player of all time are all over Twitter 🤦♂️ this is such a primitive way of thinking about things imo
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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If every job on LinkedIn feels more exciting than what I do everyday at my current job, it is time to think about leaving, I guess?..
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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But I caught a beautiful goal by Shaqiri for Switzerland!
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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And I’ve missed Cubs’ back-to-back home runs…
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Higashioka with 3-run triple. Phillies are not good today
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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This won't be a popular opinion, but in real business setup Tableau is awful.
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Caught myself thinking that I never actually consider England to be able to win anything. They are a good team on paper, but when friends ask me who could win Euro 2024, I will name anyone but England.
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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This will be personal (but i don’t have many followers here so, who cares), but I actually have nothing to thank my dad for. Everlasting anxiety. Absolute lack of any self-confidence whatsoever. Constant humiliation. Mental abuse. I truly hope I am a better dad for my son, than my dad was for me.
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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It is interesting that despite all the loud trades/moves over past couple of years Padres remain a barely .500 team.
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Time to learn more about the game I love
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Baseball Savant Run Differential viz in 2024
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Someone on LinkedIn sent me a job today requiring “Python, Microsoft Excel, data visualization tools like Powerpoint, Familiarity with SQL and Git”. PowerPoint is a data visualization tool now. Maybe it is, I don’t know…
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Finally!
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Aaron Judge is insane
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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This comparison of Rizzo to other first basemen in 2024 of age 34 and higher is also very telling. Rizzo is close to Abreau than he is to Freddy Freeman.
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Anthony Rizzo's 2024 season in a nutshell
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
[ View ] |
In the last two games against the Dodgers the Yankees have had 9 and 10 LOB (men left on base), losing both games. In the Wild-Card Era the Yankees have 3rd best W/L% in games, in which they have left 8 or more LOB.
#UselessBaseballStats
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Seems like good new on Juan Soto, but with the Yankees you can never be sure. Rizzo was playing with concussion for weeks…
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Last year Aaron Judge injured his toe on June 4, in the game against the Dodgers. Season went downhill from there for the Yankees. Juan Soto was taken out of the game on June 6, right before the Dodgers series. What is wrong with this JuneDodgers thing for the Yankees?
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Nikolay Dudaev
@nikdudaev.bsky.social
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Either I am signed up to too many newsletters, or people just publish too much. I cannot keep up
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