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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Yeah but every single one of us is in a newsroom or on Twitter SO
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#1 Shoup Fan@oneshoup.bsky.social |
53 followers 49 following 810 posts
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Yeah but every single one of us is in a newsroom or on Twitter SO
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Trump dying probably means that the GOP nominates any other candidate and wins by +5% - 10% points.
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Deeply unjust they don't make 12-14 episodes of the Venture Brothers every year IMO
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Sort of, I think technically Macron asked him to and will not reappoint him (the French PM is chosen by the Pres., but can be dismissed by Parliament) He's really mad at Macron for even calling this election and not consulting anyone else in his party. Live by the IVPTERian cult of personality...
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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French PM Attal posted his BeReal while doing his resignation paperwork IMO you do not have to post during your PM resignation
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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My Macron Apology Form
1 replies 13 reposts 52 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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If the French Parliament can't form a gov b/c the Popular Front and En Marche can't agree, what happens? A new election can't be called for a year so France just can't pass legislation for some time?
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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I will not be issuing a "Macron Apology" form. Calling the election now was very dumb, and his plan to discredit Le Pen by letting her form a gov was very dumb. The fact that the Left and the voters saved France from Le Pen is entirely out of his control.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Yeah, I'm celebrating line goes up
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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True, but Iranians seem to draw a big distinction. I think it's like a moderate center-rightist vs having an actual center-left person inside?
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Rouhani (2013-2021) was not a reformist. Iranian sources mostly describe him as centrist. There hasn't been a reformist president since 2005
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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If you sum up the left parties (Labour + LD + SNP + G + PC + SLDP + Alliance + L independents) there was a +8%p margin change for them. I think there was a lot of tactical voting at the local level in safe Left seats, will be trying to get some graphs up about this
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Hahaha I've been watching the Tour for the first time and I'm blown away by the speeds they manage to do every day. It's been fun, good sport to start following!
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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It plays against type and makes them seem "softer".
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Biked 100 Miles. Drank Ayran. Happy for Labour. Happy 4th of July! Following in the tradition of enormous Tory losses on the 4th, I urge the Tory leadership of the UK to flee to Canada.
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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We're barrelling towards a D Congress and maybe Senate as voters decide Trump is sure to win. Dems are still leading in the generic ballot We are going to become Peru
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Thanks! Interesting take!
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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What are your thoughts on the report from Quilty (some consulting firm) laying out why they think Starlink is profitable? Got some coverage, curious what you think?
arstechnica.com/space/2024/0...
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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The Dobb's effect wasn't super visible in the special elections or the polls! Kinda' surprising to be honest
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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John Madison was one of the few founders who lived long after the Revolution who was mostly happy: he had very low expectations for the new system and thought that it survived into the 1820s with mostly democratic politics was enough
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Look, top-4 Ranked Choice would be fine too! The Popular Front and En Marche could be campaigning on "rank Le Pen last, do what you want after that"
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Nikki Haley polled at +10%p over Biden throughout the campaign season. But no GOP person ever cares.
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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I still think if you could trade winning in 2020 for winning in 24, 20 would be right. He'll be a lame duck in an insane fight against the SC for a 3rd term. Yes, they are much better organized, but they would've had that organization in 21 too. Getting confirmations will slow them down a little
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Has he said anything yet?
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Pareto Optimizer
@paretooptimizer.bsky.social
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“I took a calculated risk, but man, am I bad at math.”
1 replies 1 reposts 7 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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12.5%. Really dumb. Makes no sense. Basically the same result as top 2 but the 3rd and 4th place get fake hopes? It would at least make sense if they were doing transferrable vote in the 2nd round like Alaska.
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Obviously, because the revolutions of 1848 were meant to succeed. We've been in the bad timeline totally free from The World Spirit since then :(
1 replies 2 reposts 6 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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You forgot the part where she starts to fall apart :(
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Americans are extremely upset about the candidates age which is why the only 3rd party candidate with any traction is... 70 years old
0 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Rewatching Babylon 5. Episodes are B average, but the way it fits together is A+ S1E6 is so good b/c it not only introduces Bester and the Psi Cops (amazing villains) it also has the first hint of how many ancient alien species are out there treating us like ants.
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Does anyone have a more up to date version of this diagram? I was looking around and couldn't find one. He has this one earlier in the article which seems very different?
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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So that's Danielle Fong's origin story. Huh, well
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Now we're getting the good stuff. You know I saw a suspicious bump on Trump's suite, was he being fed his answers? /s
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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I turned off the debate halfway through and started rewatching Babylon 5 for the first time/ Verdict: wow, this shit rocks. It's all SIGNS & PORTENTS baby from here
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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I don't think that's possible since the final decision is written weeks before being released, right?
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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It sucks that Paul Allen made 0 plans for his own death. Can't really blame his heir for not wanting to keep it all going
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Learning about ways to steam milk at home and getting closer and closer to buying the CONTRAPTION... yes I would love to create a pressurized vessel of hot steam on the stove every morning just to froth some milk with a tiny little spigot.... yes I would love to eyeball how much steam I need...
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Good article whose arguments I agree with. You can see why cautious optimism about the energy transition is warranted. Now we have to figure out what to do with the carbon we've already added to the atmosphere if emissions really do peak in the next years
thechinalab.substack.com/p/the-vibe-i...
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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In what way? Like, what bother the Cons in the SC about the 5th circuit?
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Ok, but the answer is also not very convincing.
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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John Kerry performed very well by the fundamentals, given he was running against an incumbent with a moderately good economy. He created a very EC effective coalition
It's possible he ran an optimal campaign and still lost
prospect.org/power/defens...
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Noboa making fun of Bukele is quite funny. "The Coolest Dictator in the World? Sure, in a country the size of Guayas" So petty
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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There have been two Presidents educated in a modern Engineering curriculum: - Hoover - Carter so the evidence is not good on that one (Washington, Jefferson all had an education that you might think of as including some proto-engineering stuff but honestly it's too different to count)
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Adrian Tchaikovsky
@aptshadow.bsky.social
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I really, really hope this comes to fruition and I hope they do a good job, because Piranesi is one of the best books I ever read.
11 replies 12 reposts 94 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Americans slapping their forehead going "Donald Trump, the criminal?"
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Blair's interesting b/c his economic legacy is good income growth across all percentiles with fairly flat inequality. I think he would be more celebrated among the left if not for Iraq
imactivate.com/incomeandine...
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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FitzGerald absolutely had their number in 1923. "These books are all Scientific", yes sir, 100%. Dumbass
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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Biked 120km, drinking chai now. It's pretty nice
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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#1 Shoup Fan
@oneshoup.bsky.social
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I dislike the bag b/c I can now no longer transport the chicken in my bike's basket. It used to be the perfect size This is, I admit, a very specific use case
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Stephen Judkins
@stephenjudkins.bsky.social
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The American people demand R290 monobloc heat pumps
0 replies 1 reposts 3 likes