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Orion412

@orion412x.bsky.social

100 followers 37 following 979 posts

Interested in geopolitics, with specific attention on global conflicts. Post refugee.


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Another fuel depot on fire in Krasnodar.

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Lukoil depot struck in Krasnador.

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Speaking of brigades with equipment shortage, good news for the 100th Mechanized Brigade as they received the first batch of 1A3 Marder IFVs. Also, in addition to this, the brigade received at least 1 T-80BV, a certain number of 2S22 "Bohdan", which are powerful domestic self-propelled guns

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Next week there will be new statements about the F-16 for Ukraine , - White House The US has made "significant progress" in training Ukrainian pilots to operate F-16 fighter jets. Expect further announcements on this next week.

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Slightly older news, ATESH announced this ~18 hours ago. The partisans blew up a critical railway track near Yekaterinburg that was used to supply Russia with North Korean weapons.

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Apparently, Ukranians are using steamdeck to control their remote operated robots. The controller was configured using DragonOS to receive Iridium satellite communications.

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To add to this, I still believe any Ukranian offensive posture will wait out another month. There is also this issue of several brigades not having all their equipment. So that needs to be figured out too.

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Even though orcs are advancing on multiple fronts, the strategy is of exhaustion. They are attacking strongholds head on, and that's stupid to say the least. Ukranians will likely cede more territory, if that means lot more dead orcs.

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Moldova and Romania will generate electricity for Ukraine, - the MFA of Ukraine Installations will be placed on the territory of Moldova that will use natural gas to generate electricity, which will be provided by Ukraine.

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Latest map of Vovchansk. AFU cleared out more orcs.

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Zelensky has already spoken with the new British Prime Minister Keir Starmer β€œAn unprecedented 100-year agreement between Ukraine and Great Britain is being prepared,” Zelensky wrote.

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There are no such Russian missiles that we could not shoot down, we just need more air defense systems, β€” Zelenskyi

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US and other NATO nations pledge additional air defenses for Ukraine at Washington summit next week, including three Patriot batteries, - Politico. The US will send 1, 1 from Germany and 1 more from Romania. The SAMP/T system, developed jointly by Italy and France, will also be part of the package.

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Apparently, Orban does have a brain, albeit an m&m sized. Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on July 5 that Ukraine and Russia's stances on the full-scale invasion and prospects for peace are "very far apart."

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Interesting. Maybe pandering to the centrist Republicans.

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10 record breaking long range strikes carried out by the AFU in Russia over the past 6 months.

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An orc chopper, Mi 28 crashed in Rostov after colliding with a Ukranian drone.

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πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany delivered the 3rd battery of Patriot air defense systems to Ukraine

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Happy 4th folks!

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Orcs on fire @ left bank Kherson region

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Explosions in Sevastopol

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North Korean shell in action with the orcs

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Zelensky's office denied that he would give an interview to Tucker Carlson. β€œMr. Tucker Carlson should check his sources in the FSB more carefully. The President of Ukraine has a completely different schedule, and Tucker Carlson is not there,” β€” wrote presidential press secretary Sergei Nikiforov.

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France sends 41 power generators to Kharkiv and Chernihiv amidst energy infrastructure damage. Shelling by Russian forces has severely damaged Ukraine's energy infrastructure, leading to reduced electricity production and supply.

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Apparently, orcs are worried that AFU may do something big before the NATO summit on July 9th. Not sure if this is some kind of a weird disinfo.

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Taiwan Defence Ministry: In past 24 hours 30 Chinese military aircraft detected operating around Taiwan β€” Reuters

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Orion412's avatar Orion412 @orion412x.bsky.social
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This is a real idea from the orcs. Apparently, they are influenced by WWII air defense by Britian against the Nazi bombing raids. Not sure the orcs fully thought this through though.

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Not sure if it's relevant that Tucker Carlson scored an interview with Zelenskyi. I would imagine Zelenskyi's team is now looking at options if Trump wins, which means Carlson's audience will become relevant.

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Apparently Joe Biden said on his conference call that he is in the race. He got this.

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Kursk tractor plant on fire.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ An explosion rang out at a munitions factory in the city of Camden in the United States. At least two people were injured, one is considered missing , Associated Press agency.

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Concerns are starting to surface on if AFU can hold onto Kupyansk. PS: the series of "bad news" I have been reporting on is no coincidence. The orcs are indeed pushing with everything they have now. It is likely this offensive will last this whole month.

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Rumor has it that the Russian "government" wants to invite Assange over to Moscow for propaganda.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ The White House announced a $2.3 billion military aid package to Ukraine. 150 million will be used for weapons from the Pentagon's stocks, and 2.1 billion will be ordered for the production of missiles for air defense and other weapons.

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BBC. I mean....Poland may not be mad at this.

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Orion412's avatar Orion412 @orion412x.bsky.social
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At least 3 Ukranian airfields have been struck by the orcs in the past week. Something isn't right. The Ukranian Air Force may have a leak/orc agent. They need to figure this out before the F-16s make their first flights.

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Orc occupied Donetsk.

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Biden told a key ally that he is seriously considering dropping, especially if he cannot convince the public he is up for the job. He believes the campaign is not salvageable if he cannot convince the public. - NYT

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Just leaving it here, for anytime you hear "Trump peace plan".

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πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺGermany will not support a ceasefire that will lead to the capitulation of Ukraine, - Scholz "In my opinion, we cannot support a ceasefire, the goal of which is the surrender of Ukraine, from the side of Germany," the Chancellor of Germany said.

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Apparently, the "secret plan" from Russia to agree on peace with Ukraine.

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Explosions in BNR

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TIVAZ says they are not yet allowed to publish the video of S-500 destruction. They are confident they at least got the S-500 radar.

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Few months ago, the Russian missile ship Serpukhov caught fire in the Baltic sea. GUR revealed it was a Russian agent of theirs part of the crew that set the fire. The agent switched sides a while ago and provided GUR with secrets. When it was time to leave, he set fire to the ship and left.

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