Paul Hünermund's avatar

Paul Hünermund

@p-hunermund.com

1585 followers 677 following 983 posts

Assistant Professor of Strategy & Innovation at Copenhagen Business School | Co-founder of causalscience.org | Associate Editor at Journal of Causal Inference | Executive Team at AOM TIM


Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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You should! But just wait until you see how complicated his proposed solutions are. 😉

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Just gonna say one thing: message boards

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Interesting movements in this year's edition of the European Innovation Scoreboard (EIS) published by the European Commission🇪🇺. Denmark🇩🇰 is keeping its lead and Germany🇩🇪 is falling further behind. ec.europa.eu/commission/p...

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Lots

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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We were the second best team in this competition, just played the likely champion too early.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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So wie in Russland damals vor der 9.-Mai-Parade, damit das Wetter besser wird? 😅

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Taking a 1-0 lead is not a good strategy in this euro cup.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Unfuckingbelievable

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Was zum Teufel sind Hagelflieger?

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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It's like turning the temperature of your ANN up a notch. I like it. 😀

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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(Or "story time with Noah" as @conjugateprior.org calls it 😉)

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Wow... 😳

Source: www.noahpinion.blog/p/at-least-f...

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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I want to write a book – Marc Bellemare style – on the petty attitudes academics develop in mid-career, when only few people dare to challenge them personally anymore.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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I was congratulated for 11 years on LinkedIn. Please shoot me.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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This French team we would've beaten too.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Rick Beato wins the old man yelling at clouds award of the month for this video youtu.be/1bZ0OSEViyo?...

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Repeat after me! 😉

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Reposted by Paul Hünermund

Joshua Gans's avatar Joshua Gans @joshgans.bsky.social
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I think it is underappreciated what French politicians did to prevent a right-wing majority.
www.cnn.com/2024/07/02/e...

300 seats were a three-way tie, and candidates voluntarily dropped out so that RN wouldn't win those seats.
This is real personal sacrifice.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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"We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be." Jesus f*** is this scary!

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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England is really muddling through this

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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It was a pleasure, alongside @jermainkaminski.bsky.social , to share our research insights on the state of industry adoption and use cases of #causalAI with the data science and analytics team at Henkel. Such exchanges between academia and practice are always mutually beneficial for both sides! 💡

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Never checked

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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You have a subscription to the Financial Times?

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Don't necessarily agree. Identifying topics and classifying tweets via GPT seems useful to me (compared to e.g. topic modeling). It's clear that the trends they show are largely influenced by usage patterns.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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"American academics are a little bit different than others. They’re significantly more egocentric, toxic, and emotional." Cut-throat competition does not always bring out the best in people...

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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5/ Data from Germany and the Luxembourg Income Survey (LIS) for fourteen other high-income countries confirm that the widening pay gap and the aging workforce are not unique to Italy.

Link: www.nber.org/digest/20240...

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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4/ ...dropped from 8% to 3%, while the share for those over 55 rose from 12% to 28%. These trends are responsible for the growing age-related pay gap. Young workers typically start with lower wages than older workers, and the wage growth experienced early in their careers has slowed over time.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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3/ In Italy, the likelihood of workers under 35 being in the top quarter of earners decreased by 34 percent between 1985 and 2019, while the probability for those over 55 increased by a similar amount. During this period, the proportion of managerial roles held by workers under 35...

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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2/ A new NBER working paper by Nicola Bianchi and Matteo Paradisi highlights several concerning trends regarding wage growth and career progression for younger workers. The study finds that the wage growth rate for younger workers has slowed, making it difficult for them to secure senior positions.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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As Europe ages, political power is increasingly concentrated among those aged 55 and older. This trend is evident in recent election results and is also becoming more apparent in the economic sphere. 🇪🇺📉 1/

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Reposted by Paul Hünermund

Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò's avatar Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social
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you know shit's gone sideways when the Financial Times is endorsing the Labour party

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Die armen Kerle, die das Wasser in den Gulli fegen mussten. 😉

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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So 2016 was just a prelude? 😣

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Why, what was the problem besides the bad weather?

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Let the man retire in peace.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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I find them okay on my tenor banjo. But the additional two strings probably make a difference.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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What's wrong with bar chords?

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Sternburg! ✌️

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Ready for the game! ⚽️🇩🇪🇩🇰

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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To be honest, past tense feels more natural. "Here is what we do. But we also made sure to check those things before we present the results to you."

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Robustness checks section in present or past tense?

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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"It will take a very strong and determined effort for Europe to rearm itself against Russia, and it’s not at all clear whether the fragmented region has what it takes." www.noahpinion.blog/p/time-to-th...

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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F*** it'll be Trump

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Yeah, many ankle socks and skinny jeans in the house. Ne-Yo in Royal Arena Copenhagen! 😎

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Calculating your matrix inverses for OLS by hand? 😉

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Yikes

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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Nice, might need to give it another try. 👍

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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By the way, I think DAG are incredibly useful for tackling the problems you discussed, because all the daunting technical stuff can be outsourced to a computer.

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Paul Hünermund's avatar Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com
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You should have kept looking for the root cause of all (DAG) evil 😉

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