Paul Tree

Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 20:54 UTC

Every actual election held in the past three years has been super normal too.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 20:30 UTC

No way he went to the most popular (pre-Ukraine) tourist destination in Europe east of Prague?

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 20:28 UTC

I’ll at least give him very slight credit for actually laying out the (very stupid) plan. Most “Biden should drop out” takes are basically just 1. Biden drops out 2. ? 3. Trump loses.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 19:56 UTC

I’m excited for the candidacy of A. Nominee.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 19:52 UTC

If someone has made an evidence-backed case for a specific alternative candidate would be materially more viable, and then explained how (both practically and legally) that specific person could be the nominee, I have not seen it.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 19:50 UTC

Setting aside that he’s been campaigning (he was in Harrisburg two days ago and gave a speech there), the case as to why it should be him is pretty simple—there’s no alternative. Arguing that doing “nothing” is wrong implies that there is “something” that can be done. There isn’t.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 19:29 UTC

Literally may come down to the male archers fucking up getting two extra quota spots in a tournament in Turkey last month.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 19:28 UTC

Absolutely white-knuckling it waiting to see if Team USA can reach 600 athletes in Paris. Currently at 598 with qualification for just about every sport all but over

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 18:24 UTC

In other words, there are perfectly reasonable arguments for Biden not being the nominee. You articulated some. But from an *electability* standpoint I’ve seen no compelling evidence that him stepping aside would help matters.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 18:21 UTC

I don’t disagree that this poll shows that a plurality of Democrats think Biden should step aside. What I’m saying is there’s no real evidence that his doing so, for a specific other named Democrat, would materially increase the chances that Trump loses in the fall.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:54 UTC

Seems reasonable, but all available evidence is that the American electorate does not agree with you.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:31 UTC

For whatever it’s worth, no one else is doing any better. This is just one poll but they all look more or less like this.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:22 UTC

Also remember that basically every celebrity in the world uses twitter. Only $42 billion to deluge every famous person on earth with an audience with right-wing propaganda? And absolute dream.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:15 UTC

Setting aside that I have no idea what you’re talking about here or why I’m tagged in this post, that use of the meme is way off lol. Panels are not in the right order.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:05 UTC

Thank you for giving me the opportunity to listen, learn, and grow

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:02 UTC

Thank you for reminding me how it feels to have a completely inexplicable social media interaction, I’ve missed that since leaving twitter

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:58 UTC

Fuck off lol

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:57 UTC

I was talking about media coverage, not “rhetoric” you braindead imbecile

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:56 UTC

Who said anything about immigration??? Are you arguing with the wrong account?

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:56 UTC

What rhetoric are you talking about?

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:54 UTC

Lol what is happening here

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:52 UTC

I’d certainly be less confused by this interaction if I were

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:51 UTC

Sam Alito’s sheer glee at writing a hyperbolically sanctimonious opinion about how vital principles of democratic governance preclude a political party from ignoring the will of primary voters

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:42 UTC

Not directly, sure, but the messaging and talking points filter out through the mainstream and left-wing media too. You are consuming right wing propaganda. Of course, I’m not sure what any of that has to do with anything I said to begin with, so

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:40 UTC

What’s driving me truly insane is that even the polling does not remotely suggest that Biden should drop out. His polling is terrible, sure, but everyone else’s is just as bad, if not worse! You can’t just have a blank spot on the ballot, it has to be someone specific, a real person!

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:30 UTC

@rickhasen.bsky.social, an election lawyer, published a piece on Slate just today calling Democrats cowardly hypocrites for not doing…something…and simply did not address any of this.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:23 UTC

Surely the editors at the vaunted NYT opinion section explained that to him in order to make his editorial a stronger piece of writing

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:20 UTC

Everyone, including you and me

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:15 UTC

?

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:13 UTC

Or how the political media would respond, for that matter. A real, once in a generation “Dems in disarray” story?

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:11 UTC

Okay then given the fact that no other alternative polls materially better (and often polls worse, see below) what, specifically, is the Republic-preserving thing?

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 16:07 UTC

I genuinely don’t see how you can argue that “sticking with Biden shows the Democrats are hypocrites” when there’s no available evidence that anyone else would do materially better.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:39 UTC

This argument presupposes that there’s a) some specific alternative that b) would definitely be better and c) that the Democratic Party could agree on and d) execute.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 05:29 UTC

Musk’s seeming immunity to scandal is imo far stranger than Trump’s. There’s no (direct) partisan polarization, people just don’t seem to give a shit. Almost every entertainer and celebrity in the world is on twitter just as much as ever. Tesla continues to print money. It sucks.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 04:36 UTC

Famously not part of the federal government: federal judges

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 04:23 UTC

Honestly can’t decide if that was the worst part or this:

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 03:12 UTC

Hooooooooooo baby

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 09, 2024 at 21:27 UTC

Gonna hold my breath and wait for the campus antisemitism pearl clutchers to condemn this, aaaaand crap I’m dead

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 09, 2024 at 19:11 UTC

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 09, 2024 at 18:39 UTC

C’mon man. You know as well as anyone that if Biden dropped out (which isn’t happening), the next four months they’d just talk about how weak Harris is, she didn’t win a primary, her candidacy is proof of Dem weakness, she’s not vetted, etc.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 08, 2024 at 23:12 UTC

I was off social media for a week for the 4th holiday, sounds like I missed a fun one.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 08, 2024 at 20:03 UTC

the woman next to me at the airport wearing the “don’t mess with mama bear” t-shirt and the guy sitting across from her wearing the “remember when I asked your opinion? Me neither” t-shirt should hang out.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 02, 2024 at 20:12 UTC

This would be the New York Times’ primary goal over the next four months.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 02, 2024 at 19:17 UTC

And also has not appeared in the actual elections that have taken place in the last four years So it would have to be an utterly unprecedented shift that is a) Trump-specific and has not helped any other Republican and b) has happened since November of 2020. Which, I guess it’s not impossible but

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 02, 2024 at 18:09 UTC

One of the (many) things I worry about is the fact that every celebrity and famous person is still there. Like, every famous person on earth with an audience stewing in right-wing propaganda every day seems ominous.

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Paul Tree @paultree10.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 02, 2024 at 06:08 UTC

Happy final pre-Olympics world track and field rankings release date to those who celebrate

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