Peter Licari

Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 01, 2024 at 16:50 UTC

But that invites the immediate follow-up: Congress has abandoned most of its oversight responsibilities generally---but most conspicuously with reining-in a co-partisan president. How can the judges be so naive to the realities outside their courtroom? And the only honest answer is "they aren't."

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 01, 2024 at 16:46 UTC

The most generous interpretation I can muster for SCOTUS lately is that Roberts & Co. are penning opinions as if we lived in a Schoolhouse Rock version of the US---with 3 contesting & coequal branches--- with nary a care about whether, pragmatically, it's the reality we live in. And that's GENEROUS.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 30, 2024 at 00:17 UTC

Alright! Let's give it a go!!

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 28, 2024 at 02:32 UTC

Yeah but Nick, don't worry---we'll judge your performance by your handicap. You'll be around for a while.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 28, 2024 at 01:55 UTC

Goddamn, I chose the wrong timeline to be sober.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 28, 2024 at 01:44 UTC

The press tomorrow: "Donald Trump flooded the field with a river of bullshit, unabashed lies, tried to rewrite history, and what little policy he talked about was insane---but Biden sounded old so, you know, toss-up."

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 21, 2024 at 14:56 UTC

I wrote a post about how improving as a data scientist and researcher can sometimes lead to your performance *degrading* for a bit. Within the musings are some tips on how not to let it make you feel like an impostor. I hope it's useful to others 🖤

www.peterlicari.com/posts/gettin...

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 11, 2024 at 17:19 UTC

How fetishizing NHST has hobbled science # 67,313: Many papers go: "some say Z is caused by X. Others say by Y. Using a regression..." But many Zs have been caused by X and Y! What use is the null? NHST doesn't get us at the *actually* interesting question of: "which process predominates & when?"

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 05, 2024 at 14:32 UTC

Me, sitting in pre-calc: "Literally when am I ever going to need trig functions in the real world." Me, at work, needing an oscillating series for a coding problem: "Sonofabitch."

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 04, 2024 at 14:47 UTC

Coworker: "Hey! Can you explain something about your code real quick, I'm not quite sure how it works 🙂" Me: "What a coincidence!"

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 02, 2024 at 00:23 UTC

Make me king for a day and I swear to all that is holy, I'll require that anyone attempting to field a "support more/support as much/support less" question will be required to spend fifteen goddamn minutes googling "response substitution." Such a huge whiff.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 31, 2024 at 11:20 UTC

I was just talking to a coworker about this the other day. The amount of social good that descriptive research can do is really underestimated. There's so many "basic" facts about the world that we don't have many good estimates for--many that would have both large epistemic and business value!

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 30, 2024 at 22:45 UTC

Yes. (However, I always serve as the devil on the shoulder for people wanting to buy new consoles.)

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 30, 2024 at 22:32 UTC

I don't know what numbers all the flash polls launching across the country right now are going to show---but I do know that, no matter what, it's somehow going to be bad news for Joe Biden.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 29, 2024 at 20:51 UTC

I had 2 people send me (non-spam) emails today addressing me as "Dr. Licari." Which had my broken-ass brain going like: "Thank you for making me feel like a capable expert it genuinely made my day, but, also, please never do it again."

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 26, 2024 at 21:41 UTC

A little while ago, mulling over my own spiritual journey, I got curious about how many people remained in the religious tradition that they were raised in---and if some religions were better at "retaining" folks than others. Charts ⬇️

Here's a link to a write-up prlicari.medium.com/how-many-cha...

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 26, 2024 at 21:23 UTC

I actually managed to set-up and push-to a new remote repository from what started purely as a local git project.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 22, 2024 at 14:11 UTC

This Robert Lieberman paper makes the case that, especially when considering counterfactuals & "why" questions, studies in American Political Development benefits greatly from taking a comparative approach (CAPD)---and highlights various works in this vein!

www.cambridge.org/core/service...

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 21, 2024 at 22:26 UTC

Gutted to report that, after spending 3 weeks stretching every morning for 10-15 minutes and doing a warm-up/warm-down after every speed workout, that I am indeed feeling way better and hitting my workout aims much easier than before. It's almost like I'm not 18 anymore...

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 21, 2024 at 21:17 UTC

One day, I'll manage to make a data visualization without first trawling through Google Fonts for the "perfect" one, but today ain't that day.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 18, 2024 at 21:15 UTC

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 18, 2024 at 21:07 UTC

"This man-eating plant grows out of pipes. Watch out because it sticks its head up quickly. You can't step on it from above." - Super Mario Land Instruction Booklet (pg 13)

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 15, 2024 at 18:45 UTC

It's only Wednesday and already this week I've suggested changing 4 different ongoing projects to Bayesian frameworks---I may have become a bit of a proselytizer.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 03, 2024 at 03:12 UTC

Recent work suggests that "corporate activism" (companies taking stances on social issues) is not popular at the moment---though it is **more** popular among Dems, young adults, and non-White adults.

Most see such position-taking as "a marketing tool".

prlpublic.s3.amazonaws.com/reports/May2...

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 01, 2024 at 15:11 UTC

Does state democratic backsliding deter tourism?

Likely yes, but effects are small.

Two survey experiments suggest restricting civil liberties broadly deters tourism from both Ds and Rs. However, vote-by-mail restrictions are only consistently punished by Ds.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] May 01, 2024 at 13:04 UTC

New endogeneity example dropped

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 27, 2024 at 13:28 UTC

Finished @pahlkadot.bsky.social "Recoding America", and I can't remember reading a book that is so sobering (yet also hopeful) about the state of public sector tech.

The issues (mostly) aren't actually technical: They're procedural, political, organizational---in short, human. Solid recommend.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 26, 2024 at 22:37 UTC

I attended my first non-academic conference earlier this week! It was really interesting how my experiences differed from the conferences I presented at in grad school---and what this conference, specifically, suggests to me about DS as a field right now.
www.peterlicari.com/posts/odsc-2...

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 24, 2024 at 01:34 UTC

Yesssss. She's still just starting out on 50cc, but I'm looking forward to how deep she'll go.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 24, 2024 at 01:26 UTC

Parental sacrifice is going on a work trip and leaving your switch behind because you want your kid to be able to play Mario Kart 8 in your absence.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 20, 2024 at 20:56 UTC

I know I'm very late to this party, but hot damn The Effect is a phenomenal book. If I ever get the chance to teach causal/methods stuff, this'll be on the list.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 15, 2024 at 16:01 UTC

Celebrated turning 30 with a 30k today! Maybe not as fast as I used to be, but I'll take 2:21! Plus some steak and cake with family last night; a truly blessed start to my 4th decade.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 07, 2024 at 20:25 UTC

A couple of exciting updates for the `infixit` package!

1. %btwn% now lets you check if a number is between two others OR if a date is between two dates.
2. 5 augmented assignment operators : %+=%, %-=%, %*=%, %/=%, and %^=%

Plus some QOL stuff. Check it out! github.com/prlitics/inf...

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 05, 2024 at 00:06 UTC

He really was. We didn't deserve him (well, maybe the toddler did), but we were so blessed by the time we had.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 04, 2024 at 23:17 UTC

My goodness, what a handsome, happy boy. They're such amazing dogs. Sorry for your loss as well.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 04, 2024 at 20:13 UTC

We unfortunately had to say goodbye to our sweet, kind boy Dude. We were blessed with nearly 6 wonderful years with him. There was never a time that he left the house without brightening someone's day. Most often ours. I choose to believe that we will see him again.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Apr 02, 2024 at 12:09 UTC

Writing a news story without the win/loss frame challenge (impossible)

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Mar 27, 2024 at 19:40 UTC

Yes, Excel, when I wrote 102.4 I OF COURSE meant "4/12/1900 9:36:00 AM." I appreciate the correction.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Mar 26, 2024 at 13:08 UTC

As a father, as well as someone who enjoys a close relationship with his own father, this breaks my heart. Recent Pew work shows that dads are more likely to be less involved than they would like---and less involved than their kids would like, too.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Mar 22, 2024 at 21:36 UTC

Me, picking up a new book on a substantive topic that I already know about: "Oh boy! I can't wait to learn even more! 🤓" Me, picking up a new book on a methodological topic I already know about: "Let me just quadruple check that I haven't been fucking this up this whole time."

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Mar 19, 2024 at 22:27 UTC

I've been managing to do speed workouts 1-2 times a week for a couple months now. Today, I put down 5 x 1k at 3:20-3:25 per rep (2 minute recovery). Felt like I was gliding! Which hasn't happened in a long time. Feels nice to watch progress build up and splits go down.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Mar 14, 2024 at 19:07 UTC

Happy Pi day! I decided to celebrate by mapping out the first 1,000 digits of Pi using R 🫓

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Mar 13, 2024 at 15:14 UTC

Context: Today is Rosalina's 4th birthday. *Me, waking her up.*: "Good morning birthday girl! How's it like to be 4?" *Her, groggily and grumpily*: "4?! Daddy, I want to be 5!" *Me, remembering her first cry, her first steps, her first words*: "Maybe not so fast kiddo...please"

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social [ View ] Mar 12, 2024 at 22:31 UTC

*Me, scrolling social media, reading all the posts about things others are making and learning.* "Man, I wish I had the time to make things as cool as this." *Me, after 30 more minutes of scrolling.* "Nothing to be done about it, I guess."

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