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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Absolutely.
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Russ Holmes@rholmes.bsky.social |
53 followers 134 following 628 posts
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Absolutely.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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I'm not the author. I think originally it was posted on Reddit.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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No coherent comeback strategy here:
www.independent.co.uk/voices/micha...
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Yes, she seems sane.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Tom Tugendhat seems like the only sensible contender.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Reminds me of this.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOJu...
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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www.youtube.com/watch?v=iRKu...
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Boris Johnson was born in the US, he is the natural saviour.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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The purple dots on this map.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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The difference is that now he has to declare his interests and there isn't a similarly compromised governing party controlling the NCA and MI5.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Better order some more popcorn.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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If I am correct, of the 17 members of the 1922 Committee, only 3 have retained their seats. The MPs have to elect 14 new members before their can be a leadership election.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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I hope that the new government sort out the BBC as a priority and return it to its original mandate.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Hopefully that will change under a new government. I can't see Starmer allowing that,
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Initially, they are going to remove peers who will exceed 80 years of age during the first term. That is, everyone over the age of 75. They also talk of an attendance requirement.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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They always get the tallest guys in the regiment for photo shoots.Army humour.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Reform lower than predicted by both FT and New Statesman.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Good riddance.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=zVxA...
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Go Nads.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Absolutely. I think they will do well, though. The big problem will be having a load of Reform Putinistas spouting nonsense in parliament.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Reform doing much better than projected by FT and New Statesman. I hope this is localised.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Ridiculous, looks like Yul Brynner attempting a hair flick.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Which explains all the no rejoin and anti-trans rhetoric from Starmer in recent days. They must have known about the Reform surge.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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He won't once in power.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Ann Widdecombe is probably the greatest one.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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FT model predicted that but not New Statesman.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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I've got to ration it. I did find quarter of a bottle of red wine left over from the weekend. Once I strain the fruit flies from it, it'll be fine.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Stove going, beer ready, waiting for some Portillo moments.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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"the Rallings and Thrasher notionals" - sounds like something out of Python.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Don't seem to be in the BPC. Doesn't look like they have been active for several years. They use internet river sampling. I wouldn't give much weight to it.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Shortest by a smidgeon is 50-99 seats, odds drifting but could just be because it is well backed. 100-149 is slightly longer but shortening.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Current betting odds are shortest (and shortening) for Libdems getting over 61 seats. Reminds me of 66 million years ago at the Yucatán Peninsula.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Brexit is bad enough. Having a hard border in the middle of Britain would be a disaster for both Scotland and what is left of the UK.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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It's a district of South London. There's more:
www.mirror.co.uk/news/weird-n...
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Weardale - currently windy and raining. Turn-out is good. They have had as many by lunchtime as they had during the whole day of the recent locals.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Because Russia wants to divide and weaken the UK.
www.thenational.scot/news/1859648...
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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The SNP may not like Putin, but Putin sure as Hell likes the SNP. There is a reason for that.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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That is actually real. Well, not actually real but their front page.
www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-...
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Actually, like this. In a large part due to saturation with lies in the 2 weeks before the referendum.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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That's a veritable rogues gallery.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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39 year old winning a 100 m sprint after running a marathon.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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That's more like it.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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This man just lost my vote. Libdem it is.
www.theguardian.com/politics/art...
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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"Since Britain’s Conservative Party took power 14 years ago, most things have not gone the way it planned." I would say that things have gone exactly the way that they planned. They were clear that they were going to cut taxes and cut public services, which is exactly what they did.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Tugendhat is probably the best candidate if he keeps his seat. The party's problem is that the party membership has the final vote and they will elect a crazy.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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Some pollsters estimate, some opine.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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This is all about messaging the super majority FUD. It's the only attack line they have.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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2 standard deviations for Labour is 2.7%, so not wildly outside sampling noise. Cons remain under 20%, which is wipe-out territory.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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The Labour campaigning strategy of keeping quiet and letting the right tear themselves to pieces hasn't allowed Starmer to project himself. That will change on Friday.
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Russ Holmes
@rholmes.bsky.social
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I went to bed euphoric, like a child before Christmas.
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