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Simon Donner@simondonner.bsky.social |
At left is current surface temperatures (shown as departures from normal). Notice the warm blob in hurricane alley of the tropical Atlantic. This also happened in 2005 (right). It caused a record hurricane season as well as widespread coral bleaching. Now, of course, it looks cute in comparison.
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Simon Donner
@simondonner.bsky.social
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We analysed the likelihood of the event with and without climate change. Here's a figure from the paper, showing the coral heat stress from late summer 2005 for the study region. At the time, attribution studies were new, so the work took us about a year to complete! www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....
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