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Andrew Gelman et al.@statmodeling.bsky.social |
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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You can guarantee that the term “statistical guarantee” will irritate me. Here’s why, and let’s go into some details.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/07/05/y...
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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“What do we need from a probabilistic programming language to support Bayesian workflow?”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/07/04/w...
0 replies 1 reposts 5 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Grappling with uncertainty in forecasting the 2024 U.S. presidential election
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/07/03/g...
0 replies 4 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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“A Columbia Surgeon’s Study Was Pulled. He Kept Publishing Flawed Data.” . . . and it appears that he’s still at Columbia!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/07/03/a...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Obnoxious receipt from Spirit Airlines
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/07/02/o...
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Holes in Bayesian statistics (my talk tomorrow at the Bayesian conference, based on work with Yuling)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/07/02/h...
0 replies 1 reposts 5 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Interactive and Automated Data Analysis: thoughts from Di Cook, Hadley Wickham, Jessica Hullman, and others
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/07/01/i...
0 replies 3 reposts 9 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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The state of statistics in 1990
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/30/w...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Toward a Shnerbian theory that establishes connections between the complexity (nonlinearity, chaotic dynamics, number of components) of a system and the capacity to infer causality from datasets
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/29/t...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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It’s lumbar time: Wrong inference because of conditioning on a reasonable, but in this case false, assumption.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/28/i...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Marquand.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/27/m...
0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Last week’s summer school on probabilistic AI
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/26/l...
0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Some solid criticisms of Ariely and Nudge—from 2012!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/26/s...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Edward Kennedy on the Facebook/Instagram 2020 election experiments
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/24/e...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Forking paths in LLMs for data analysis
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/24/f...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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StanCon 2024: scholarships, sponsors, and other news
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/24/s...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Forking paths and workflow in statistical practice and communication
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/24/f...
0 replies 2 reposts 7 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Some fun basketball graphs
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/23/s...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Implicit assumptions in the Tversky/Kahneman example of the blue and green taxicabs
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/22/i...
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Pervasive randomization problems, here with headline experiments
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/20/p...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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More on the disconnect between who voters support and what they support
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/20/m...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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What to do with age? (including a regression predictor linearly and also in discrete steps)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/19/w...
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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In Stan, “~” should be called a “distribution statement,” not a “sampling statement.”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/19/i...
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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New online Stan course: 80 videos + hosted live coding environment
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/18/n...
0 replies 5 reposts 14 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Comedy and child abuse in literature
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/18/c...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Subscribe to this free newsletter and get a heads-up on our scheduled posts a week early!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/18/s...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
This well-known paradox of R-squared is still buggin me. Can you help me out?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/17/t...
0 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
“Beyond the black box: Toward a new paradigm of statistics in science” (talks this Thursday in London by Jessica Hullman, Hadley Wickham, and me)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/17/b...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Myths of American history from the left, right, and center; also a discussion of the Why everything you thought you knew was wrong” genre of book.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/16/m...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
One way you can understand people is to look at where they prefer to see complexity.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/15/o...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Loving, hating, and sometimes misinterpreting conformal prediction for medical decisions
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/14/l...
0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Statistics Blunder at the Supreme Court
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/14/s...
0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Faculty and postdoc jobs in computational stats at Newcastle University (UK)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/13/f...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Arnold Foundation and Vera Institute argue about a study of the effectiveness of college education programs in prison.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/13/a...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
How would the election turn out if Biden or Trump were replaced by a different candidate?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/12/h...
0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
1. Why so many non-econ papers by economists? 2. What’s on the math GRE and what does this have to do with stat Ph.D. programs? 3. How does modern research on combinatorics relate to statistics?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/12/1...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Questions and Answers for Applied Statistics and Multilevel Modeling
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/11/q...
0 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
“‘Pure Craft’ Is a Lie” and other essays by Matthew Salesses
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/10/p...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
He has some questions about a career in sports analytics.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/09/h...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
I strongly doubt that any human has ever typed the phrase, “torment executioners,” on any keyboard—except, of course, in discussions such as this.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/09/i...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Report of average change from an Alzheimer’s drug: I don’t get the criticism here.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/08/r...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Who is the Stephen Vincent Benet of today?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/07/w...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
To what extent is psychology different from other fields regarding fraud and replication problems?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/06/t...
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
More on the oldest famous person ever (just considering those who lived to at least 104)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/05/m...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Again on the role of elite media in spreading UFOs-as-space-aliens and other bad ideas
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/04/a...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Selection bias leads to confusion about the relative stability of deterministic and stochastic algorithms
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/03/s...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
“Nonreplicable” publications are cited more than “replicable” ones?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/02/n...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Update on “the hat”: It’s “the spectre,” a single shape that can tile the plane aperiodically but not periodically, and doesn’t require flipping
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/01/u...
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
When the story becomes the story
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/06/01/w...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Whassup with those economists who predicted a recession that then didn’t happen?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/05/31/w...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes