Sean Kelly's avatar

Sean Kelly

@storyslug.bsky.social

I feel like the total collapse of effective polling over the last couple of elections has really helped carry water for GOP narratives. Like, there's honestly no way the race is as close right now as polls suggest. Post-Dobbs, hard Trump districts have swung +20 to Democrats. And yet!

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Sean Kelly's avatar Sean Kelly @storyslug.bsky.social
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Pre-election polls never seem to capture the sustained anger over the repeal of Roe v Wade. It's just never become baked into any models. Sure, some women in certain regions may be reluctant to voice that support out loud, but everything since Dobbs suggests this shouldn't be a horse race.

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