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The Silvered Spherical Ideal Median Voter@swolecialism.bsky.social |
a floppy haired guy named nate, who unfortunately runs a lot of the pollcels of the democratic party, has consistently predicted that nonwhite 18-29s have swung R+40 in four years, and we're all living in the discourse he has created
7 replies 9 reposts 117 likes
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Elisabeth
@neuroticlesbian.bsky.social
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I remember when that didn’t happen in 2022 and also White 18-29s voted net D for the first time i think ever recorded?
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Confirmed Professional Agitator
@mumbly-joe.bsky.social
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I did a poll and it ends up people are very mad that they gave covid vaccines to black people and that they don't admit that COVID was created in a lab in China
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Sarama Burwani @ Dawntrail 7.0
@saramaburwani.bsky.social
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I’m reminded of that one panel-based tracking poll in 2016 that would shift several points depending on whether one person (a 19-year-old black conservative from Chicago) was in the sample or not that day
0 replies 0 reposts 9 likes
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Stephen Webb
@stephenwebb.bsky.social
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Do we have numbers showing a gradual shift that direction in, say, the 2022 midterms?
*presses finger to earpiece* wait, wait, I'm getting news
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
3 replies 1 reposts 11 likes
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Aaron Sofaer 🏳️⚧️
@aaronsofaer.bsky.social
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What were the actual non-white results like in the midterms relative to the polling? Is that a thing that's easy to look up, because I have failed but might just not know the keywords.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Wheeler
@wheeleyme.com
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I just can't see how anyone would get enough representative data to make a prediction for that age range outside of trolls and partisans. Even the most optimistic view of the numbers shouldn't allow for that when those are also among the least likely to vote demographics. pull the other one silver
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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The Silvered Spherical Ideal Median Voter
@swolecialism.bsky.social
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call it cope, call it unskewing, whatever. that's what nate says is gonna happen. nate says that Black voters have swung R+40 since 2020. you can believe him or not.
6 replies 3 reposts 81 likes