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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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You marked yourself as a local. You called it “The 52”.
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Gavin Werbeloff@travelbuddha.bsky.social |
102 followers 294 following 1195 posts
Travel expert, photographer, real estate fund principal, reformed lawyer and repository of useless information.
gavin.werbeloff.com
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
[ View ] |
You marked yourself as a local. You called it “The 52”.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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I was being a wee bit facetious. www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/1...
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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In San Diego, all the fireworks in the city go off in a single instant. On the East coast it’s a drip drip drip for days.
2 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Very much so. Him being nuts has very little to do with where he grew up. The fixation is more about people wanting to find a way to declare him irredeemably evil that fits their own biases.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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The fact that a self-described Democratic Socialist couldn’t win the Democratic primary clearly had *nothing* to do with the fact he was a Democratic Socialist.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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It's probably a wrap.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Having attended the official university of the entertainment industry, I have zero problem believing that. It's a tight race between entertainment industry execs and tech company founders for being anchored to the top left hand corner of the Dunning Kruger curve when it comes to public policy.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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And would you say that the execs you worked with had a better sense of what was required to lead an org with thousands of employees than someone who owned a couple of coffee shops and icre cream stands?
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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The purpose of the org does't matter. It's the size and complexity. It's comprehension that an org that size is like a cruise ship, not a speed boat. That you can't just fire employees because they have opinions you don't like and that order and process matter for institutional continuity.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Just make sure the super Yekkie/Sephardi guy who loudly corrects everyone's leining is either not there, or is off at the kiddush club.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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My point is if you believe that business experience is relevant to successful governance, Trump is the last guy you'd want. He's run a small family business for 50 years where doesn't have to answer to anyone and he's unfireable.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Interesting. What industry?
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Forget for a second that it's a bank. Dimon successfully leads a massive, heavily regulated global company with tens of thousands of employees. Policy aside, he has a far better grasp of what it would take to run the US gov't than someone who's run a family business for 50 years.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Kagan to Roberts:
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Also, do ads with the actor who played Hodor. As Hodor.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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The DNC needs to make this election about everything *but* Trump. Abortion, contraception, SCOTUS, Harlan Crow, Heritage, 1/6. It will drive Trump nuts b/c he *needs* enemies. Vote for Biden to stop the full panoply of awful that is empowered by a Trump presidency. Wider appeal than just Biden.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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So for them, the purpose of winning is to make like miserably for the people they don’t like. Schadenfreude as an organizing principal tends to have a very short life.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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On top of that, Trump has handed the reins of the RNC to his daughter in law, who doesn’t exactly have a background in politics, and whose primary function is to funnel $$$ from the RNC into Trump related businesses. The problem with a cult of personality is that it tends to attract the unqualified.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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When did Heritage go insane? They used to be fairly normal, no?
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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I could sense the sarcasm 4 states away.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Trump is going to have to pick up 3 of the following 5 to win: GA, AZ, PA, MI and WI. That’s tough when you consider PA & MI elected Dem govs by 10%+ in the last 4yrs, abortion is on the ballot in AZ w/ a 🍌🍌🍌state GOP, the GA GOP is still pissed about the phone call, and WI has a new Dem gov & map
3 replies 1 reposts 10 likes
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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I remember when Shake Shack went to In N Out style fries for a brief period. There was almost a mutiny.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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"I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, okay, and if I etch ‘Official Act’ into the bullet casing before I shoot, they can’t prosecute me."
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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With Knoxville, given the University and its consistent apartment demand, I could see a situation where a relatively small amount of net migration causes a big spike in rents.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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True, but unfortunately for him (assuming the case ever gets to trial) even if he's only tried on facts arising *after* the May 2022 subpoena, he's still royally screwed.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Coming soon: "Judge Cannon, the only reason the defendant had access to these documents in the first place is that he was acting in his official capacity as President of the US, therefore he is immune from prosecution for anything arising from those actions after leaving office."
5 replies 27 reposts 196 likes
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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I’m honestly surprised we didn’t get a “history and tradition” test for Official Acts.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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This is as much a knock on RTX as Boeing. Pratt & Whitney powers a little over 50% of A320NEO orders and their GTF has had all kinds of issues lately.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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“If you want there to be an election in 2028, you have to vote in 2024”
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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The constant refrains from him and his supporters have so conditioned us to be fearful of “criminalizing politics” that it hasn’t dawned on most that he’s simply trying to politicize criminality. And treason. 59 presidential elections in this country’s history, and he’s the first to try a putsch.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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The NRA is successful because it perpetuates two legends amongst pro & anti gun-control groups: 1. They are invincible, so the only way you can protect yourself is to buy a gun. 2. The government is coming for your guns, and the only guarantor of your freedom is your ability to outgun Seal Team 6.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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To be clear, I don't have a problem with guns. I have a problem with imbuing gun ownership with some quasi-religious quality, which results in states being more able to regulate when teenagers can learn to drive, than being able to regulate if those teenagers can buy automatic rifles.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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The notion that the 2nd Amendment was about universal individual gun rights is hardly Originalist. Heller(2008) was the result of a decades long crusade to reframe it. Judge-made law in its purest form. Until then, the strongest argument for it was the Incorporation Clause of the 14th Amendment.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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They’re both murder chickens
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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I begrudgingly moved from permanent LR license to subscription about 6 years ago. I’ve only shot RAW for 15+ years, but my thing has been to tell LR to write all edits into .xmp sidecar files so on the event I want to switch to something else, I don’t lose all the edits I’ve made over the years.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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I just don't think the TCJA tqeaks were ever intended to apply to this sort of conrporate scenario. It was just bycatch. If was a US entity that filed partnership returns, there would never be a question.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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I think anyone who's trying to extrapalate out from this case is really missing the fact that it's really niche. The entity involved is a Controlled Foreign Corporation, which are their own unique breed of corporations that are not American, but the US Gov't treates as American for tax purposes
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Summer time!
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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A distinction I never imagined until now. Thank you Akiva.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Quick, someone do the assassination chain meme but for Kissinger’s obit.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Layover only doesn’t count. I used to have more of those, but I think the only 2 left are Minnesota and North Carolina.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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So Northrop Grumman bought Vought from Carlyle in 1994, but Carlyle then started another aerospace company under the Vought name in 2000, which has been part of 787 saga. The history of Vought lives at Northrop Grumman.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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My 8 yr old has gone deep into MilAv. He has his toy planes, which came in small packages, and list the intellectual property rights of the various models on the back. Last weekend he asked why Northrop Grumman owns the trademark to the F4U, b/c he knew it was built by Vought.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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I’m watching this conversation. I don’t have much to contribute, but I’ve been in your shoes and I feel for both of you. The ‘negative space’ never goes away.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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They were very good in NYC too. This is just sad.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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WTAF. This should be declared a mistrial. At the *bare minimum*.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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Add this to a long list of “Signature” DeSantis pieces of legislation that were almost immediately enjoined by Federal Courts, and to my knowledge none of them have been revived after adjudication.
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Gavin Werbeloff
@travelbuddha.bsky.social
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It might still be experimental, but when I sent the Fed Paper that created it to the CIO of an NMHC Top 50 firm, they went “This explains what we’ve been seeing.”
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