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WeatherTiger@weathertiger.bsky.social |
Putting those together, that means 2024 is going to be in rare company, amongst just 8 other years since 1950 to have a cool Pacific and very warm Atlantic. Six of these eight years were "hyperactive" Atlantic hurricane seasons, with 60-150% more activity than normal.
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WeatherTiger
@weathertiger.bsky.social
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WeatherTiger’s March forecast for the 2024 season has a most likely outcome around 195 ACE, or ~190% of 1950-2023 mean. Below or near normal (<130 ACE): 10% Above normal (130-160 ACE): 15% Hyperactive (>160 ACE): 75%. 50% chances of 160-225 ACE, 20-24 TS, 9-12 H, & 4-7 MH.
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