We Put the FBI Man Into the Medicine Lodge's avatar

We Put the FBI Man Into the Medicine Lodge

@2facedjanus7927.bsky.social

RESPONSE BIAS IS DISTORTING POLLING, PRIORS VINDICATED

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ManhattanJuryAppreciator 's avatar ManhattanJuryAppreciator @ratelimitexceeder.bsky.social
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Getting real close to an “oh my god he admit it” moment.

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot's avatar Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social
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They correct for this by weighting by recalled Trump vote. The topline results are close to correct, but for anything other than the presidential horserace you'll have too many hardcore Rs and not enough moderate Rs.

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