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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Democrats and leftists have not made winning elections a priority since Nov. 2008.
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Craig Estlinbaum@craigest.bsky.social |
10 followers 23 following 192 posts
Co-Host at Hooks & Runs, a podcast about baseball, music & culture. Astro fan. Last concert attended - Slowdive. Any opinions expressed are mine and mine alone.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Democrats and leftists have not made winning elections a priority since Nov. 2008.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The infotainment industry is controlled by very wealthy people who love chaos (ratings) and tax cuts.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Where were they last Summer when these conversations needed to be had in earnest - when something could be done about the campaign. They let this folly go beyond the primaries THEN say, “hold on … Biden’s 81??”
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Either Biden or Trump will be sworn into office on January 20,2025. Because the rules of the Constitution and present political realities are what they are, the default candidate is Trump. Even Sanders endorsed Biden.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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207 - Fourth of July Fireworks and 20-Game Losing All-Stars We’re Hooks & Runs - of course we’re going to talk about Guy Hecker.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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When people blame “the Democrats,” who are they really blaming? Biden was the nominee in ‘20 because he got the most votes. He’s the nominee now because no one ran against him. “The Democrats” are anyone eligible or possibly eligible to vote.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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A vote for Biden/Harris is not a vote for the perfect (doesn’t exist) or even the ideal, but it is a vote for preserving the chance for good candidates to win in ‘24 and to win races with better candidates in ‘26 and beyond.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Independent is how he runs. Caucus refers to leadership once elected. Sanders can choose R, D or remain I. With R or D he gets a say in leadership. Committee assignments come from leadership. If he remains outside the caucus he has no committee access.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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I’m not the one that suggested Sanders had options other than the Democrats. I’m happy Manchin is a D. The problem isn’t that Manchin wins in WV; it’s that Ds can’t win in WI, OH, FL, NC and so on.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Manchin has always run as a Democrat. He has never been an Independent. The caucus is mostly about leadership; I cannot see Sanders choosing McConnell over Schumer or giving up his committee spots to go it alone for … what.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Conservatives consider “Jurists who preach fidelity to the Constitution … making decisions that flatly contradict our founding document’s text and ideals” to be a a feature, not a bug. That’s what genteel, 20th Century liberals do not understand.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Having the votes is the result. I’m asking about the steps to go where we are to where we need to be. We cannot wish 290 progressive House members or 67 progressive Senators into office.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Keeping the former robust middle class poor, high and mindlessly entertained is an integral part of the right-wing’s mission.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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I do not see the point in ceding a winnable election to right wing authoritarians hellbent on destroying the rule of law then after the fact taking up arms against them.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The EC requires 2/3 of both Houses. That’s 67 Sens, 290 Reps. To get the proposed Amendment to the States for 3/4ths to ratify. That’s 38 States. What’s the strategy to get those votes in hand? How do we get from here to there?
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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I don’t think Doggett is working with new information here. He’s responding to the public display of the evidence already in front of him.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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I do not know you. I was referring to Doggett, who is on the inside. I could have been clearer.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Where were these calls and concerns last summer when something could be done about the re-election campaign. The skills that make Biden a good president are not at all the same as those that would make him a good candidate if he possessed them.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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West Virginia nominated a leftist for Senate in 2020. She got 27% of the vote. What are the chances the Democrats wins this open seat race in 2024? Manchin is the reason Democrats hold the majority and Biden gets any judges confirmed.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The Democratic leadership in this century has included 20th century politicians - Clinton, Pelosi, Reid, Schumer, Biden, Ginsberg all were products of a more gentile, pre-24/7 news cycle time. We get the politicians and leadership we vote for - or others vote for if you’re on the sidelines.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The Democratic Party runs who voters choose to run.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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I cannot predict the future. But I prefer a landscape where the chance to do better exists.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Re-Elect Biden/Harris so we have the opportunity to do better in 2028.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Where was Rep. Doggett LAST summer when something practical could be done about a Biden re-election bid? It’s not like anything that happened in the debate relating to Biden was a surprise or that it’s a surprise Biden is now an octogenarian. At this late day, there is no Plan B.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Elections have consequences.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The sole and exclusive power to define was is or is not “high crimes or misdemeanors” is expressly granted to the House for impeachment purposes. Not that this will stop this activist Court from saying otherwise, but it at least should be said for now.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Not that much has changed. There was no excuse for Democrats to lose the MA race in 09.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The Democrats had 60 Senators in 2009 then inexplicably lost the MA race after Kennedy died. Democrats are capable of winning much more than they are.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The alternative to Manchin is Caputo, not Swearengin, who got <30%. I’ll take Manchin and by extension, a Democratic majority. Democrats had 60 Senators in 2009. The problem isn’t Manchin, it’s that Manchin is the 50th.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Congress can enforce it, but Congress needs more Democrats.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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I don’t think Liberals have done much winning. For example, Ds had the Senate, but when it’s Sinema and Manchin getting you over the line, are Liberals really winning? If your winning vote is a D from WV, what do you really have?
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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You have to start somewhere. Not making winning elections a priority has gotten us here. Maybe if we start now we can reverse the present dystopian direction. We will not get there overnight or in one election cycle. Like for Republicans, the changes we need to make happen when we win elections.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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It would have been better to have had an open, competitive primary instead of a coronation. Sometimes I wonder what the Supreme Court & lower courts would have looked like after 4 years of a President Webb’s nominations.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Congress cannot get its act together but Democrats and anyone else who wants to see Congress get its act together can vote to accomplish that goal. Unfortunately, more and more people look to politics for entertainment these days, and dysfunction is more entertaining that boring good government.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Wait - voters have made power available to a Democrats? When did this happen?
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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You know, that probably works better that, “I’m just going with the flow.”
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The problem Biden/Harris have, aside from their own instinct to pander to special interests and total indifference to 21st Century political communication strategies, is that the threat to our Republic has arisen during a decade and a half period when Ds & the left de-prioritized winning elections.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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They are chumps who get played all the time. But they’re our chumps who get played all the time — and right now, sadly, our only hope.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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On June 10, 1944, Joe Nuxhall made his Major League debut, pitching for the Cincinnati Reds. Nuxhall was 15 years, 10 mos. and 11 days old at the time. He retired 2 batters and allowed 5 runs, all earned, in an 18-0 Cincy loss. Nuxhall’s next MLB appearance came almost 8 full years later, in 1952.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Sports betting will be a very difficult cat to put back into the bag.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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I don’t remember why Cosby’s conviction(s) got overturned but in Weinstein’s case the reason was the improper admission of certain evidence, not that he never should have been convicted.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The hits keep coming for the Astros. José Urquidy - elbow surgery, out for the year Christian Javier - Tommy John surgery. A team can never have too much pitching.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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What are the three bands you’ve been listening to the most recently? Here are mine: The Black Angels Boris Slowdive
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Episode 200 - Baseball and National Tragedy: The RFK Assassination w/ Fred Frommer.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h...
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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I recommend usually running a candidate that can get 50%+ of the vote.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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It’s not enough to vote. We have to win.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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How will more cops with guns, clubs and qualified immunity promote unity and togetherness? Isn’t DEI about promoting diversity of thought? Did anyone even ask? ask?
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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Elections have consequences. One thing you can say about the right wing - they vote. Come he’ll or high water, they vote.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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The last three Democratic presidents took office from Republicans with the economy in the trash. They managed to right the ship to a small degree in 2 yrs, but ea time voters voted out the Congressional majorities needed to make structural change. All elections have consequences.
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Craig Estlinbaum
@craigest.bsky.social
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On what grounds?
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