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Dan Nexon@dhnexon.bsky.social |
So we have our first apples-to-apples polling comparison by a reputable pollster: 7/1 Morning Consult | Trump 44, Biden 43 (Trump +1) 6/28 Morning Consult | Trump 44, Biden 45 (Biden +1) This is not a meaningful change.
3 replies 22 reposts 110 likes
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Steven White
@notstevenwhite.bsky.social
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I think this constitutes cherry picking, but even if we take this at face value it's pretty bad that Biden missed one of the few high-profile opportunities to change the trajectory of the election (where with either of these results he'd lose the EC).
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Will Oosterman
@willoosterman.bsky.social
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Biden was +10 in this poll in December. 54 percent of respondents saw the debate, 6 percent said Biden won.
State polls matter. National ones rarely do.
www.wmur.com/article/poll...
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Mary Joy
@maryjoy.bsky.social
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I think a lot of people still believe there would be some national consensus against Trump if Dems just found the right candidate. It's going to be a bitter, slogging, nailbiter.
0 replies 0 reposts 12 likes