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Hannah Dawson@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social |
16 followers 6 following 109 posts
Senior backend engineer, CCP Games London. Used to do politics, but I was rubbish and I stopped. I use she/her pronouns.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Liberal parties should always get rid of leaders they decry as too-old in favour of named wunderkids who seem to poll well before hand. Ming? Vince? Never heard of them
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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It was... never in doubt
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Might have used an innocent talk at Develop to get "this is Valve's fault not yours" on the record when the dev basically went 1. 8000 games are published on Steam each month, 2x the total published PY when "indiepocalypse" was coined in 2015 2. Early Access now means 1.0 "Ah but it is inevitable"
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Big upside to falling out with every hobby/friend group I end up in is more time for my indie game projects. Wish PC gaming was not so bloated now. Far too many people making games, far too few customers. Huge bubble.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Functionally the reason video games fail is because of one of two reasons 1. Bad staffing. 2. Bad production. You can make a good game out of anything. You cannot make a good game with bad staff. Many people who make video games should not be doing so.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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All of video game development is human resources. Without HR, including production, you have a lot of people who scream at each other until people start quitting. It does not matter if the size of the team is 2 or 2000 people. Code, assets are worthless. The only thing that matters is people.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Ended up walking out of a hobby project today - Space Station 14 - due to just finally losing my rag with the leadership. I got shouted at and had my competence questioned. I have a lot of character flaws - this happens a lot with me - but having project leads scream at people is not OK.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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"I won't watch the football", she says "It's a quarter final, it's always the worst to watch as it's the one before you can stop thinking 'we should be doing better'" or whatever, she says It matters not. Southgateball consumes all. You cannot resist.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Hadestown at the Lyric is a good musical attached to a phenomenal production. Firm recommend.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Most ministers don't know prisons well, to be fair. Staying out of them is an important rule in politics unless you are an Irish republican.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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I am choosing to celebrate a new government via following @stephenkb.bsky.social 's repeated recommendation to see Hadestown.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Looking very very spicy for the Lib Dems
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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MRPs miss as it stands 👀
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Unfortunately due to medication I'll probably not be drinking any alcohol tonight Which just means I will be _very soberly_ marching around Westminster singing The Land if the Tories do especially badly
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Tomorrow's copy is dead easy though isn't it? You can just write the word "HA" in size 128 font.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Voted to help my lot's deposit in Tottemham. Drew an Among Us character in the box :)
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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As stupid as "we are definitely going to be in a coalition BUT IT COULD BE WITH THE PARTY YOU HATE" - the LD 2015 positioning. This GE reminds me a lot of the 2015 LD implosion.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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"we might lose Sunak and Truss" is leaning me toward believing Survation. I am manifesting.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Ok final polling thoughts I promise One of two realities is correct, barring an election-day VI shift ala Corbyn 2017. 1. The Yougov and Focaldata MRP unwinding is about right and the Tories win 100 seats 2. Survation is right and Ed Davey is LOTO. It is going to be an enthralling result.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Or North Cotswolds or other weird places, I suppose.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Counterpoint: the three legged stool is in excellent shape so the party institutionally should be able to manage the argument well. But something like Europe or (sigh) trans rights could end up causing a massive wedge.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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City socdems vs shire liberals, a tale as old as the merger Will be especially brutal as the former is going to go "look at the latest government scandal and Starmer's unpopularity, we should be targetting places like Hornsey or Wavertree" and the latter has fifty-plus MPs in the Tory gains.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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I would be very surprised to see any freak results on the LD side this time unless it is the product of a 4-way split. Maybe Sutton and Cheam. The "120th" equivalent this time are stuff like Hornsey or Bermondsey, seats only really in play next time.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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One I think you are missing is Torbay. That declares reasonably early and is a stretch goal for the LDs; it will give us a good idea if the LDs are at 45 or 65 seats.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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What's weird is that this reads like a gamble with no real upside; this comes off as desperate even to a low-information voter, surely? Of course Johnson's going to tell people to vote Conservative.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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In retrospect the Tories might come to regret having reshuffled constituencies before this election; it's caused a lot of voters to have to reconsider who to vote for, which is not what you want when you were represented by Sir Bloggs, veteran backbencher, and your new Tory candidate is a nobody.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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This is _probably_ going to be the most fun election night for the small horde of very statistics-y Lib Dems (like me!) who are trying to call LOTO-or-NOTO as soon as we can. It's like doing the tallies at a count except you're in a friend's house rather than a sports hall.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Survation giving Davey LOTO a 47% chance is mad
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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www.survation.com/survation-mr...
This is roughly what a "best-possible night" for the Lib Dems looks like, although you could debate about Sutton+Cheam, Mid Sussex etc.
Would expect Labour to do worse than this. This vs Yougov and Focaldata will be really interesting.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Be careful with that! It can ruin mental health. That's for 3am on Friday when the LDs are winning Witney and we're all frantically doing the maths to see if it is Loto Or Noto for Davey
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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There are two scenarios I think can happen on Thursday. Either the Tories hold 120 or so seats, or they hold 30 or so.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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It's a shame the Standard is effectively defunct, this is a big coup for LLDs
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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That was also by Electoral Calculus
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Really really chuffed that Cyan Worlds appears to have smashed it with the Riven remake. They HAVE to do more Myst now, right?
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Trans tip for when you have lasers blasted at your face: a stiff drink or two before hand 100x easier
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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If I was still in Old Swan (Wavertree, now West Derby constituency) I'd have at least had a fun crank one from TUSC or the Liberals. :( Oh to forever living in Labour cities.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Things through door this morning in Tottenham: paid drop of Labour, Green and "independent socialist" Corbynite candidate. Nicest leaflet so far was the LD one which was delivered during postal vote drop week... No Tory leaflet yet. Maybe ever. Also no FT newspaper🤬
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Broke: Abolish the House of Lords Joke: PR for the Commons Woke: Make election campaigns, like, maybe ten days shorter
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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It's a good setup for a stolen-from-Terry-Pratchett joke, though What matters is the "does this get remembered and repeated to me by my hairdresser/barber" mantra. "Does this get heard on music radio bulletins". Like a lot of this election what matters is the Tories *didn't have a slogan* at all.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Labour's slogan: "Change" It is a bad slogan, because it fails the invert-it-and-see-if-that-is-also-meaningful line. 4/10, stop hiring the Obama fan club. Tory slogan: "AH! OO! AAH! NO, AARGH, NOT THE FINGERS, ARGH! ARGH!"
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Every single pundit: "Sir Ed why are you falling off paddleboards all the time, doesn't that make the public think you're an unserious clown?" Person shown Davey's photo in the street: "I have no idea who that is" Another example: "what is the GE Tory slogan your hairdressere will quote at you?" 🤷♀️
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Functionally the only way you get such a freakish result as the Tories wiped out is if you turn most of the "holdable" Tory seats into four-way marginals. The Tories end up on about 100 seats as we stand. It's very, very bad, but rebuildable even without a Brexit or something to give a lifeline.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Two depressing thoughts as the weekend dies... 1. That Savanta MRP is going to give the Tories a "oh we didn't do as badly as everyone was saying we'd do" thoughline as soon as we get to about 4am on Friday 5th 2. A result like that can't happen anyway due to party resource limits.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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I get that map painting is really popular but Elden Ring is a series of messy dungeons taped together with largely trite horse riding sections. The DLC was the opportunity to deliver a more focussed experience and it's, no, here is a big open grassy plain with a few secret chests. Leh sigh.
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Dark Souls 3: Here is a bowl of delicious soup Elden Ring: We've improved the ingredients, so the soup is even tastier, but we've watered it down a bit Elden Ring DLC: What if we added even more water
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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How do people _read_ all of this There is like six newspapers in here
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Me, unaware of what is to come: "hmm yes I shall try out this subscription to the FT" The delivering of my FT weekend paper:
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Sunak, starting down a dying Liz Truss premiership: YOU WERE THE CHOSEN ONE YOU WERE SUPPOSED TO BUILD UPON THE ELECTORAL COALITION, NOT DESTROY IT
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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Revenge gave us YOU WERE THE CHOSEN ONE which is S++ tier meme
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Hannah Dawson
@fairlysadpanda.bsky.social
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This is not a weird election. It is the 2015 situation the LDs were in scaled up to apply to the Tories.
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