|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Thank you for correcting the plural.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.@jdetc.bsky.social |
309 followers 362 following 2411 posts
J.D. et cetera. Generic litigator but dabbles. Chicago and adjacent. Unreformed liberal artist. Unrepentant elder millennial re: craft food and drink. Pro-sports and the arts and nature. Anti-judicial corruption until I get nominated.
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Thank you for correcting the plural.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
He's redoing the bigoted Know Nothing Party bit from the 19th c. without any sense of irony or likely awareness of that particular movement.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Truthfinder out here giving someone's moral age.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Prosecutors literally exercise discretionary state police power. They're more cop than a lot of uniformed personnel with police department titles.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
A perfect 10.0 English skeet (derogatory, but charmingly so).
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
It probably is, but you're now straw-manning an argument I haven't and wouldn't make, so enjoy the fireworks.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
We could probably quibble over what "reasonably accurate" means. If you weight for party, etc., in the US it seems like it'd be hard to miss by more than the margin of error even if the sampling method is bad as long as people are being honest. As evidence of current trends... no.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
That's absolutely not true (and would be unfounded for both cell phones and after a candidate's agent admitted manipulation efforts). This article cites a decline of 36 to 9% response rate from 1997 to 2019.
www.politico.com/story/2019/0...
2 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
A 1% response rate. What if the method of communication is a confounding variable? In other words, can you show the 1% of people who answer their phone to an unsolicited political survey in 2024 are representative of the population? Particularly problematic for weighted lower n subsamples.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Yes, but he's a Republican. Democrats have to do double to be in the same place.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
There's like 10 red flags. Here's one obvious one and one potential second problem in one screenshot. This isn't even a close call from a statistics standpoint. The market for polling news is the only reason anyone looks past these fatal defects.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Wish I didn't remember him at all.
0 replies 0 reposts 22 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Getting that sweet, sweet consumer data about which CVS Joe Waitstaff gets his one a.m. provisions from and how he pedals there. That line is goin UP.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
I gotta tell you, if I'm Joe Biden there's one of two scenarios here: one is that I have a legitimate health concern and am strategizing a resignation, and the other is that I don't, and I'm spending zero time reading anything from anyone who thinks the vice president lacks "democratic legitimacy"
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Did you look at the poll method, response rate and crosstabs? Have you even taken a statistics class? I'm asking this sincerely - I understand it's The New York Times / Siena branding, but their sampling methods can't possibly be representative, which means the output is junk.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Curious how all the usual suspects won't stop usual suspecting.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
I cited this just yesterday but what the hell it's freedom fries day:
1 replies 4 reposts 119 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Happy 4th of July, the 5th Circuit is liberating the judiciary from being the Federal Library Police!
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
The situation is that you're citing a phony poll with no reliability as if it establishes a useful fact.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
I really wish Dem leaders knew how to play in the mud when necessary.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
The people who should be quietly watching developments quietly watch challenge: impossible
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
NYT should not be publishing this stuff for the same reason they don't publish serious features on pseudo science.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Can't wait to see the internal memos about whether the <1% who answer unsolicited phone calls are actually a representative sample.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
The wild west, but not 100% sure relative to what starting point:
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
I, for one, am writing the Illinois AG to intervene in the Young Thug trial.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
They've literally gone from "no Yankee Doodle Dimwit can tell The Great State of Alabama how to educate its children!" to "well, ackshully, the State of Missouri has standing to make the State of New York play nice with its specialest citizens" I want to see the timeline behind Door 2, Monty.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Republicans doing their best to prove all that "states rights" federalism small government falderal they indulged for decades was, in fact, falderal. Now it's max state power, baby. Strap yourself in and feel the Gs.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
The Heritage Foundation: The Revilution will be as bloodless as you want it to be. The Biggest Wankers Imaginable: See libs? No violence! Stop these loony hysterics or else.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
the wise man bowed his head solemnly and spoke: "theres actually zero difference between prosecutorial discretion & a monarchy. you imbecile. you fucking moron"
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
The difference between intelligence and wisdom is a 70-something comfy con law professor still unironically going along with the kayfabe and hand-waiving away the occasional jail stint for unruly subjects.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Truly impressive that this self-proclaimed news organization created a narrative that it now speculates will be perpetuated for up to four months. It's cute that there are probably still true believers in there who think this is just good ol' sleeves-rolled-up journalism.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
"Does the ACLU support a Court more favorable to its clients?" "No."
1 replies 0 reposts 25 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Come to think of it, the fantasy of being spoiled and impervious to criticism explains more than one Trump voter I know.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Fox running an ad where Pulisic says "gotta prove the doubters wrong" after the men's team definitely didn't prove the doubters wrong is certainly a choice.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
On today's edition of Lousiest Americans, Gregg Berhalter somehow only finishes 7th in the ranking.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Fox may not have the contractual ability to do so. Probably are the same camera stands for American football, and probably a CONMEBOL based crew who hasn't shot in an NFL stadium before.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
It still boggles the mind that Obama, a constitutionalist, tried to be overly reasonable in appointing a successor to Scalia, McConnell told him to piss off and ignored the Senate's constitutional role, and the response was *nothing*
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Sic Semper Tyrranis? No! Sic... Tyrranis Semper!
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
You all scoff at the idea of AI judges and Code as Law, but be honest: whose hallucinations would you have rather had this term, SCOTUS's or ClaudeLawBot's?
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Pack the court, schmack the Court, just invite the right six current ones to the Oval Office to cordially discuss their immediate resignations.
0 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Apparently also an unlimited power to instruct your AG, so any prosecution could be sandbagged after jeopardy attaches.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
When we said SCOTUS should revisit qualified immunity this was not what we had in mind.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Ah, so Supreme Leader Biden will be sending the troops to Mar a Lago any moment now, yes?
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
He's a bottom 5% rich person. Boring businesses, boring hobbies, botched sports ownership, etc.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
I would not call myself a "huge fan" of the guy as he was not my preferred candidate in 2020, but he is a very good politician and a good President when you account for what the President actually can and should control. He's like LBJ 2.0 (explanatory, non-derogatory), and people *hate* it.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
I refuse to invest in Bluesky drama until it's being introduced as evidence in a proper murder trial, like a normal healthy person.
0 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Someone should probably tell him who won the broader Austia-Napoleon conflict long-term.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Ah, redoing the 1984 election! Wonder how that worked out last time.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
The political media feels aggrieved that they didn't get to do realistically contested primaries from either major party and is taking it out on the party more likely to cave and give them something to cover this summer. That's more or less what's going on right now. They know it's dumb.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
|
|
J. D.
@jdetc.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Gonna run Gravity's Rainbow through this bad boy
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes