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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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And when your mom’s ancestors were abolitionists
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John Cluverius@johncluverius.bsky.social |
477 followers 319 following 2134 posts
Political scientist, professor, pollster, parent, partner. Pro-choice, pro-union, and pro-orca.
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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And when your mom’s ancestors were abolitionists
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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This is infinitely easier when our local Civil War monument is just an angel holding a laurel wreath entitled “Victory.”
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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I’m sorry but you have to be honest with children. Yes, some of your ancestors owned enslaved persons. No, that wasn’t ok. Do better.
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Next round!
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Listen I like Whitmer conceptually. I like a double woman ticket. I like governors. There’s a lot of good options!
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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I don’t think the polls showing him doing better in the trial heats are convincing evidence.
0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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This is the correct answer assuming whitmer is 5’10
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Oh my dude Filindra, Harbrige-Yong, and I have a fat fucking grant on this
2 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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*the* woman?
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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The stepdaughter is a club kid in New York. I assume there are stories.
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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No. I think it’s more like Biden is rolling with points on 8 and 4, and Harris has points on 6 and 5.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Obama said the hardest part of his job was that he got only 50/50 decisions. if there was an obvious choice someone would have made it already. That’s the kind of choice before Biden right now. I don’t think it’s disingenuous to say I hope he makes the right one.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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But if it’s up to me (and it’s not) I take Harris. She is not as good a politician. I don’t think she gets the same accomplishments as Biden. The stepdaughter and niece are problems (but not like the felon son). But I get not wanting to roll the dice.
2 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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I’m not going to say I told you so if Biden hold on and loses. His numbers, which are not great, have held. You can make a case that on his worst day he’s better than Trump on his best day. Polarization is real.
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Look the economy is good and the country is at peace. No more forever wars. But the last time RDI was this bad with a dem incumbent we got George W. Bush.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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I think Biden holding on may be fine. I don’t think it’s obvious that he can’t win. But there’s an odd Biden malaise in the polls that the debate was supposed to erase not exacerbate.
2 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Been mostly quiet on this but if I’m anyone that matters I roll the dice and run Harris as the nominee and fuck it, Big Gretch as VP.
2 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Crushed it.
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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If you’re Republican remember that Ted Cruz has a humiliation kink. Voting against him is actually what he wants
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Totally fair!
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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That year at our department Halloween party someone had a witch hat and a sign that said “I’M YOU”
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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KENNEDY 2024: I NEVER SAID, DID, OR ATE THAT
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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i mean to be fair, joe biden is actually historically bad at running for president, like 1 for 4
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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No project 2025 you’re the project 2025
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Brendel
@brendelbored.bsky.social
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What’s going to be fun in six months is that no matter what happens in the election everyone is going to pretend they knew exactly what to do when clearly no one has any fucking clue
15 replies 52 reposts 448 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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"the last 125 years are on the ballot"
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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You have to remember that most high level Democratic donors are not smart enough to support their local state university or its college of Fine Arts, Humanities, and Social Sciences. That’s how you end up with ideas like the blitz primary.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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My dude Yellowstone is just a license to print money
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Marisa Kabas
@marisakabas.bsky.social
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by choosing anyone other than harris to replace biden should he decide to step aside, the party would be revealing they very cynically chose her as veep for optics without believing she could actually be president.
28 replies 113 reposts 809 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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My butcher in North Andover is this great Argentine dude, so he never trims his Picanhas and you just buy them whole, the way it should be.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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People forget how much cocaine he was on when he wrote the show
0 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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it’s a known side effect among recreational polonium users, they’re much more likely to fall out of windows
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Ouch.
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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That’s so fucking cool
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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No one cares about the parts of Project 2025 that will absolutely wreck basic science research in the country, but you might want to mention it to your STEM colleagues.
0 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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My grandmother died last year and she was *so much* cooler than Joe. She had a lavender VW Golf that she claimed used to belong to Diana Ross!
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Also just as an example Pelosi was willing to risk her own majority to use a weird procedural trick to pass the ACA. She is probably more like AOC than either would admit.
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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This may be a blind spot for me but I separate Pelosi from this. Both aligned further left and a more talented politician than the rest.
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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The guerrilla must swim amongst the people like as the fish swims in the sea.
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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To be fair he’s a chaotic MontCo suburbanite so it tracks
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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We all hate the Times, don’t we, folks?
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Bill Pullman, portrayed as a young President in Independence Day, is 71 years old, younger than Trump, Biden, Stein, and Cornel West, but barely older than RFK Jr.
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Confine him to house arrest inside an Orlando Publix
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Christopher Federico
@cmfederico.bsky.social
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just a reminder that however much this Walther guy who’s one of today’s stars of the site wears his religion on his sleeve, the current earthy Bishop of Rome would probably refer to him using whatever the Rioplatense Spanish equivalent of the phrase ‘fucking weirdo’ is
0 replies 3 reposts 12 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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ABIBTYB: Always Bring It Back To Your Book
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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Voter history is public data, something a lot of performative public activists forget.
1 replies 2 reposts 29 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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I am literally a professional politics-knower and I can confirm that our ability to predict what will happen next is literally never as good as pundits like to pretend it is. As I tell my grad students, social science doesn't do point predictions.
2 replies 12 reposts 64 likes
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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NO. NO. NO. NO. NO. make politics boring again. like remember that first 8 months of the Biden presidency when it was just boring af?
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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I love this. Been seeing more fireflies this season after none for a few years and was worried they were all gone
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John Cluverius
@johncluverius.bsky.social
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See we both aligned on the “yeah infidelity seems like a lot of work, so, no.”
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes