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Jeff Lazarus@jlazarus.bsky.social |
2048 followers 436 following 5224 posts
Political scientist researching Congress and elections. Teller of dad jokes. Reluctantly proceeding deeper into middle age.
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Don Moynihan
@donmoyn.bsky.social
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Constitution: People involved in insurrections should not be President. Roberts court:...hmm, no, I don't see it. Constitution:.... Roberts court: but the president should have immunity for crimes
18 replies 211 reposts 948 likes
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Thomas Zimmer
@thomaszimmer.bsky.social
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“Project 2025” isn’t just about power in Washington. The Reactionary Right’s goal is to re-establish political, societal, and cultural dominance in all spheres of life and turn the clock back to before what Heritage Foundation president Kevin Roberts calls “the Great Awokening.” 4/
2 replies 7 reposts 21 likes
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Cheryl Rofer
@cherylrofer.bsky.social
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Pardon, y'all, but I have some data. From Josh Marshall - "[W]e now have seven polls in which we have before and after data from individual pollsters, before the debate and after... Putting all those together you have Biden going down one point and Trump remaining unchanged."
0 replies 15 reposts 50 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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Oh, JFC.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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Oh, JFC.
0 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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This is the second post like this I've seen today. Is someone out there yearning for interesting politics?
4 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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Dammit why won't my brain warn me that I used the same word twice before hitting reply?
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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(Although Trump & Biden winning their respective nominations were two pretty easy gimmes.)
1 replies 0 reposts 9 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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I am literally a professional politics-knower and I can confirm that our ability to predict what will happen next is literally never as good as pundits like to pretend it is. As I tell my grad students, social science doesn't do point predictions.
2 replies 12 reposts 57 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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I'm not sure about anything anymore. But Trump at heart is a showman. My gut says he wouldn't let something like this leak without making a big production out of it.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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It’s fake. I deleted my own post about it FWIW.
1 replies 1 reposts 3 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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Thanks. I'm on fec.gov right now and not finding it.
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Bethany Albertson
@albertsonb2.bsky.social
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Either the Democrats will run Biden, or he'll say he can't continue the campaign and Democrats will run Harris. Either is newsworthy, but neither is nearly as radical as running a pro-insurrection convicted felon with legal immunity he's eager to use.
11 replies 212 reposts 803 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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Student in my summer school class just emailed to ask what I think of the Supreme Court cases overturning Chevron and giving Trump immunity. I'm going with 100% honesty. We'll see how that goes.
0 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Quinta Jurecic
@qjurecic.bsky.social
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if your instinct is "calm down, surely this is an exaggeration," allow me to assure you that it's really not
5 replies 107 reposts 329 likes
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Erin Cikanek
@erincikanek.bsky.social
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I see a lot of “but I already vote! And one time I marched!” today and people feeling they already “do it all.” Here are three things you might consider to be involved with politics. 1) sign up to GOTV. For a congressional/state/local candidate. Politics is about mobilization & coordination 1/3
3 replies 14 reposts 29 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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I'd go even further and say the right is weaponizing the left's failure to understand this by coalescing around the very flawed Trump while seeking to magnify Biden's much lesser flaws.
2 replies 6 reposts 40 likes
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post malone ergo propter malone
@proptermalone.bsky.social
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when you vote for President you are voting for a coalition rather than a person. the right understands this very well, which is why evangelicals lined up behind Trump.
17 replies 81 reposts 296 likes
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Katie Mack
@astrokatie.com
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“I voted blue but things still suck” is a reason to do more than just vote, not a reason to vote for something demonstrably worse (or sit out the chance to keep Demonstrably Worse out of office)
4 replies 62 reposts 355 likes
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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these people do not intend to ever lose power again
132 replies 1229 reposts 3900 likes
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Sean
@publichealth.bsky.social
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sure it’s heritage being heritage, but their continued escalation of the violent rhetoric and threats is not to be taken lightly. especially not after j6
28 replies 118 reposts 672 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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"will remain bloodless as long as the left allows it to be" is classic abuser language.
2 replies 6 reposts 11 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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This is how much Trump has changed politics. Ten years ago this platform would have been political suicide.
1 replies 8 reposts 23 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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Better than even chance that very soon after Trump is inaugurated Newsom, Whitmer & other prominent Dems find themselves subjects of the military tribunals Trump is now floating for Liz Cheney.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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+1
0 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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I guess they don't really care about that veneer of deniability.
2 replies 1 reposts 6 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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Man, I remember reading Merchant of Venice for a college class and getting to the 5th act & spending the rest of the semester just pretending it's a 4 act play. I still pretty much think that way.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Michael Tae Sweeney
@mtsw.bsky.social
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The fact that no electeds last time were punished for trying to steal the election predictably lead to out-in-the-open maneuvering to do the same thing in 2024. It's bad
11 replies 45 reposts 334 likes
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DodgerFanLA
@dodgerfanla.bsky.social
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the times continues its vigorous campaign to end democracy. literally the same playbook they ran in 2016 with the emails. we're so fucked. i'm existentially depressed.
35 replies 131 reposts 730 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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<<Taps sign>> Any time an elected official makes a public statement the intended audience is their voters.
0 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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This is performative centrism from a vulnerable Democrat looking to win reelection in a purple district. No more, no less.
www.bangordailynews.com/2024/07/02/o...
1 replies 1 reposts 7 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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I believe he is appealing the conviction. And who the fuck knows what SCOTUS would do at this point? "Supreme Court rules 6-3 that only Republicans may appear on the ballot." Sure? Why not?
0 replies 0 reposts 8 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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On the one hand, FUUUUUUUUUUCK. On the other hand, facing sentencing for 34 felony convictions right when election season is shifting into high gear is not going to help Trump.
3 replies 1 reposts 13 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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The full quote gives a very different message. bsky.app/profile/josh...
0 replies 0 reposts 8 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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If it's Harris, I'm all in. If it stays Biden, I'm all in. Just let me know.
1 replies 3 reposts 34 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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Y'all keep litigating the Democratic ticket; I think I'm gonna sit it out. At the end of the day I really don't care who's on it: Biden, Harris, Whitmer, Newsom, James Van Der Beek, a rotting corpse, a hairless cat, a bag of broken glass. I will canvass for any of them to try to preserve democracy.
4 replies 6 reposts 39 likes
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Miranda Yaver
@mirandayaver.bsky.social
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Trump committed these crimes as a private citizen, prior to becoming president. This is ridiculous.
8 replies 19 reposts 83 likes
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Mark Chadbourn
@chadbourn.bsky.social
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25 replies 734 reposts 2865 likes
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Popehat
@kenwhite.bsky.social
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I don’t think it’s an exaggeration at all to say the decision threatens the Republic. I might not have said so in 2015, before I saw how triumphantly lawless and autocratic the President could be, and how so many people would applaud it or at least shrug.
42 replies 496 reposts 1690 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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The two things that immediately come to mind are allowing Garland take his time with the Trump case and failing to put specific, actionable items on the agenda through his rhetoric.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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He's not a wartime consigliere.
2 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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I'm in general pretty pro-Biden but it's very possible his most important legacy is going to be completely failing to understand the threat the Republican party faces to democracy.
4 replies 2 reposts 8 likes
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Popehat
@kenwhite.bsky.social
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There are two elements to the immunity decision that are particularly extreme in a way that many will miss: (1) motive is irrelevant and (2) immune acts are not just excluded from prosecution, they’re excluded from evidence. /1
50 replies 900 reposts 2424 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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It's all on the table. Everything the executive branch does, from soup to nuts.
1 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
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Paul Waldman
@paulwaldman.bsky.social
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One of the cool things about this new Supreme Court ruling is that since you take bribes in exchange for "official acts" pretty much by definition, the president is now free to take bribes! I wonder if that's something Donald Trump might take advantage of.
3 replies 25 reposts 95 likes
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Jonathan Ladd
@jonmladd.bsky.social
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We can save the country by electing a Democrat in Nov. But not Joe Biden. And his replacement has to be exactly who I have in mind---definitely not anyone else. Why is everyone so stupid and not following my easy plan?
8 replies 8 reposts 71 likes
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Ed Burmila
@edburmila.bsky.social
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The electoral problem has become, as the IRA gloated to Thatcher, that the GOP only needs to get lucky once and the Democrats need to be lucky forever. Either they’re going to do something about the court - now, not eventually - or we will simply play iterations of this game until the GOP wins.
17 replies 267 reposts 876 likes
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Jeff Lazarus
@jlazarus.bsky.social
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I posted this on 1/6. It still applies, and I have a feeling I'll be taking it out a few more times before it's all said and done.
1 replies 5 reposts 16 likes
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Kevin M. Kruse
@kevinmkruse.bsky.social
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Yeah, it’s not just that he consistently dismisses very valid criticism of his insane opinions; it’s that he does it with a wholly unwarranted sneer of condescension.
13 replies 59 reposts 396 likes