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John Pfaff@johnpfaff.bsky.social |
If we drop CA, which adopted a massive state-level change no other state attempted, then ... in my sample of 27 states, ALL the decline is driven by Dem-voting states, since on net GOP counties pushed prison pops up (tho their urbanest counties saw drops). The net GOP decline is a CA-GOP decline.
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John Pfaff
@johnpfaff.bsky.social
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I define a county's Dem-vs-GOP-ness by the average share of the vote the Dem POTUS candidate got from 2008-2020. I'm sure there are other ways one could do this. I'm skeptical that they would change the fundamental results here. Decarceration is local, and it's not bipartisan.
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