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Keith@mosheroperandi.bsky.social |
Yes, when people say "Biden cannot win", I don't know what polls they are looking at. The standard appears not to be merely a candidate that could win, but one who polls so well it does not feel like Trump could win. I don't think that candidate exists this cycle, and when she did, polls were wrong
1 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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Martin Schneider
@wovenstrap.bsky.social
[ View ] |
It's complicated. Since about 2000 all elections are tight. I think Bush Sr. could more or less not lost in 1988, the prevailing winds against the welfare state were too strong. Not anymore. The Dems are the majority but forces are keeping it around 50-50. So the possibility of loss is just there.
2 replies 0 reposts 2 likes