Peter Jacobs's avatar

Peter Jacobs

@pjacobs.bsky.social

Sure, a lot of us have dunked on Nate Silver for his perpetual pandemic take rake stepping. But stuff like this — demonstrating he doesn't just not understand what 'Deep State' means, but getting it almost completely backwards — makes me wonder wtf he did at 538 all day most of the year?

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Brexton O'Donnell's avatar Brexton O'Donnell @breckod.bsky.social
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Increasingly thinking the answer is "drugs with his poker buddies."

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Gluten-free Seitan's avatar Gluten-free Seitan @davidjorgonson.bsky.social
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Math stuff. Election stats the same way he did sports stats. Doesn't require knowing politics, but still more valid than most punditry. The problem is he became a pundit. Nate criticized himself for this once, after he predicted Trump wouldn't be nominated - opining without building a model.

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