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Peter Jacobs@pjacobs.bsky.social |
733 followers 519 following 363 posts
climate science (paleo, modern, future); public understanding of science (consensus, conspiracy theories, pseudoscience)
ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-6951-7126
Mastodon: fediscience.org/@peterjacobs
Bird Site: twitter.com/past_is_future
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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I believe it was Will Rogers who famously said "I'm not a member of any *organized* political party ... because the Democrats won't let me join their highly unified ranks!"
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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AP: ‘This is break glass in case of emergency stuff': Analysts alarmed by threats to US data gathering
1 replies 51 reposts 119 likes
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Radley Balko
@radleybalko.bsky.social
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In retrospect, maybe it wasn’t the best idea to run with an Alex Berenson scoop without some research and fact checking first.
3 replies 7 reposts 116 likes
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Jarrod Baker
@jarrodbaker.bsky.social
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imagine how much great art could have been created if we took a fraction of the money spent on getting computers to make shitty art and gave it to actual artists
17 replies 524 reposts 1606 likes
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Nicholas Grossman
@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social
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NATO Summit in DC As Ukraine War Rages NY Times is on it 1) Biden's age didn't come up, but don't forget it 2) NATO leaders watched POTUS. Must be his age. 3) Biden did well, but it doesn't count 4) This doesn't matter. Remember the debate? Not a non-issue, but weird way to cover an int'l summit.
8 replies 42 reposts 137 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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I think it was a contractor clean room in Rochester (Kodak -> ITT Exelis -> L3 Harris). There were only a few FIA satellites built from the late 90s - early 00s, before the program was ended in favor of a different electro-optical solution. Sometimes Roman / WFIRST gets misreported as excessed KH-11
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Cleverest Little Boy In The Room syndrome is a cancer. So many people care more about whether they look 'savvy' than they do about the actual fate of their fellow citizens and future generations, despite or perhaps because they are closer to centers of wealth and power than the average person.
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Peter
@notalawyer.bsky.social
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basically every element of this is fraught and there are no good options. the number of people pretending to be certain about the best move is obscenely high.
29 replies 16 reposts 383 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Ya know, the awkward truth about Stalin's purges that historians don't like to acknowledge is that it created a lot of open positions in the Soviet government...
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Michael Hobbes
@michaelhobbes.bsky.social
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No one involved in climate science or advocacy "needs to acknowledge" that mass extinctions result in new life millions of years later. They know that! They're trying to reduce human suffering, they're not confused about how geologic time works.
www.theatlantic.com/science/arch...
23 replies 61 reposts 600 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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I don't know why this didn't work, I've cancelled it now...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Reject
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Reject
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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But did you "mark his words" Aaron? Did you mark them?
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Accept
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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If you allow for such goalpost moving and No True Scotsman stuff, no one would be considered incoherent. Someone can always fill in missing pieces, false statements, and ignore totally off topic interjections and then everyone is always coherent. Magic!
1 replies 1 reposts 1 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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If Trump's point was to discuss the Iran nuclear deal, it was a totally incoherent response. You're just using meta knowledge of things he has talked about elsewhere & creating a new definition of coherence that allows for infinite unrelated digressions in order to claim that monologue is coherent.
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Costa Samaras
@costasamaras.bsky.social
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A lot of folks who supposedly analyze politics for a living are just like…not good at it?
35 replies 88 reposts 620 likes
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Brendel
@brendelbored.bsky.social
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What’s fun about the New York Times is you can be like wow a new low but then you remember the war and everything else
6 replies 16 reposts 128 likes
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John Rogers
@johnrogers.bsky.social
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I wrote the most comically insane villain possible for that episode, to sell the con, and he's just baseline CEO in the early 2020's.
7 replies 25 reposts 226 likes
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Seth Cotlar
@sethcotlar.bsky.social
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I can't tell you how often it's the case that when I look for historical antecedents to some weird sounding phrase in an official document from the Trumpist GOP, that search almost always leads me to obscure fascists from the American past like Gerald Smith, Conde McGinley, or Pete Peters.
2 replies 32 reposts 108 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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A total lack of internal coherence or consilience with respect to extant evidence is only a problem for normal empirical inquiry. What we're seeing with the NYT and others is not that.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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this shit goes incredibly hard I can't lie
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Cate Eland
@romancingnope.bsky.social
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Section 1 of the 2025 Mandate for Leadership (aka Project 2025) is entitled "Taking the Reins of Government". Hard to imagine a left-wing political roadmap claiming such a thing in writing, and it not resulting in complete media apoplexy. Let's take a look.
1 replies 27 reposts 93 likes
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Adam Rawnsley
@arawnsley.bsky.social
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Also Monsters Are Due on Maple Street is excellent
0 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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The NYT is laundering insane right wing hit pieces during an election, please stop me if you've heard this one before
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Dell Cameron
@dell.bsky.social
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Thinking about all the actual newshounds who spent their living researching and investigating corruption and how many lost their jobs in wave after wave of media layoffs while watching the NYT pour a small fortune into having 20 different people rehash the same argument every single day.
6 replies 111 reposts 430 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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I deleted my comment. Apologies to all.
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Sure I can see that! I deleted my above comment in case it was insensitive. I didn't mean it do be and I apologize.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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I deleted my comment below. I apologize, I did not intend for it to come across the way it did.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Great advice, consider it taken! I am happy to delete any of my comments if they are over a line, unintentional as that would be.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Seth Cotlar
@sethcotlar.bsky.social
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The official 2024 GOP platform makes a reference to "Christian-hating Communists" who the Republicans will keep from entering the country. Back in the early days of the America First movement, "Christian-hating Communists" would have just been a longer way of saying "Jews."
29 replies 275 reposts 953 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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I think you're misunderstanding me, I'm asking the guy who said, "I see a lot of asides and diversions, and of course a lot of dishonest grievance whistles, but his point at the end is his point at the start" what Trump's point was and what in Trump's words would lead someone to that conclusion.
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Being old isn't the same thing as dementia. I don't know what Biden's current situation is, but my own experience with people with dementia is that their non-dementia caretakers couldn't handle Biden's schedule let alone the actual dementia sufferers. But maybe he's being puppeteered by a cabal 🤷
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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What was the point of that Trump monologue, and what in the text would lead someone to conclude that?
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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*Offer only valid when considering the insanely anomalous 2023 values. SSTs are still shockingly high relative to any other July before last year's.
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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"They won't even let me be Irish anymore, Jack."
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Seems like it should be something of a red flag that the "ban contraception not just abortion", climate denying, pro-insurrection, Project 2025 lunatics' position on the origin of the pandemic is indistinguishable from supposedly "fact checked" NYT op-eds. Weird!
0 replies 2 reposts 5 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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I don't know if it's a good idea or not for Biden to stay the nominee. I don't know if he's secretly concealing a health issue. I am however confident that we've seen a deluge of reporting ostensibly on those questions that reflects social dynamics rather than substantive fact. Which is familiar!
1 replies 0 reposts 8 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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If any of us had any actionable, reliable advice on how to win Presidential campaigns, would we be sitting around skeeting half-baked takes about it? That's why I am focused on the 'how media shapes public understanding of empirical reality' aspect. It's at least somewhat in my pers/prof experience
2 replies 0 reposts 18 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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I have no special insight into Biden's health or his odds of winning reelection. I have no idea what will happen next. But I am really skeeved out by the way so many people in the media seem to be playing weird games (or I guess are very ill informed?) about all this, however. It's quite grim.
0 replies 0 reposts 11 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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This is an odd posture to take because it sounds like you either don't know that he's made multiple, forceful, on the record statements about not stepping aside (which would be pretty ill-informed!) or else you're aware but framing things this way for rhetorical effect, which seems kinda... slimey?
1 replies 0 reposts 14 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Okay, sure the NYT may have stumbled with their 'China and Fauci frankensteined up the pandemic' stuff, but recall they've done such a phenomenal job with Clinton's email server, trans people, Maxine Gay's 'plagiarism', shoplifting, policing, and the economy, can't we just call it a one off mistake?
3 replies 11 reposts 45 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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When you write "It’s up to Biden to weigh these competing factors and express his wishes", how many more times and way does he need to this before it counts, for you? I have no idea whether or not it's a good decision, but he's made it pretty clear?
1 replies 1 reposts 19 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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Whether it's genuine crankery or cynical scapegoating by cowardly politicians, it's insane to see a non-profit science org get thrown under the bus as a result of conspiracy theories like this.
It will do nothing to appease those opposed to public health & science.
www.statnews.com/2024/07/08/e...
1 replies 6 reposts 14 likes
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Kevin M. Kruse
@kevinmkruse.bsky.social
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Banner month for the Economist.
19 replies 60 reposts 491 likes
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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www.youtube.com/watch?v=l9ml...
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Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social
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www.youtube.com/watch?v=tArK...
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Michael Hobbes
@michaelhobbes.bsky.social
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the thing you really can't over-emphasize about reactionary centrists is how *dumb* they are
www.persuasion.community/p/a-guide-fo...
47 replies 116 reposts 901 likes