Is the #AMOC approaching a tipping point? Here's my take after researching this topic for over 30 years. Open access, peer-reviewed, in full colour & understandable for non-experts. tos.org/oceanography...
Non-science background here, and I have to say the paper is really well written. Well organized and not filled with a ton of jargon. It's still a lot to digest, though, and would probably take some time to understand the fine details. Stefan, are you entertaining questions?
Ich brauche so etwas mal in deutsch. Für meine Mutter. Und meine Nachbarn. Ich rede mir immer den Mund fusselig und muss dann auf „das gab’s früher auch schon“ reagieren.
On the nose: “This is not about being 100% or even just 50% sure that the AMOC will pass its tipping point this century; the issue is that we’d like to be 100% sure that it won’t.”
Guter Artikel, vielen Dank! 💚
Ernsthafte Frage: Gibt es eine kürzere Zusammenfassung mit weniger Details & weniger Fachsprache? Ich befürchte die Mehrheit der Bevölkerung würde sich theoretisch für das Thema interessieren, versteht aber hier nur Bahnhof & hört dann mit dem Lesen auf. 🤷
Danke für die klaren Worte!
„It would be irresponsible, even foolhardy, if policymakers, business leaders, and indeed the voting public continue to ignore those risks.“
I remember a conversation with Manabe and Denton in 1987, Manabe noted that an AMOC on/off switch in warming world was going to be different than in a world going from ice age to interglacial. This stemmed from obs. of lack of temp gradient change along the American Cordillera from 14KBP to present.
Excellent read!
I don’t recall coming across the impact of the loss of Coriolis force before… North America is going to have to take a bite out of a multi-layered sea level rise turd sandwich!
I thought it was understandable, I am a non-expert, but I do have a background in computational fluid dynamics applied to stars. I am not sure how easily digestible it would be for people with non-science backgrounds though.