Steve G

@sjgenco.bsky.social

4 followers 17 following 47 posts

Twitter emigrant interested in democracy, public opinion, climate change, the end of oil, degrowth the future of humanity. Enough of a social scientist to be troublesome. Steve is author of Intuitive Marketing (2019) & Neuromarketing for Dummies (2013).

Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jul 08, 2024 at 21:54 UTC

Thank goodness once Trump gets back in and dissolves the deep state, we won't have to worry about these pesky FAA "experts" getting in the way & keeping these great American planes out of the air!

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 26, 2024 at 19:25 UTC

Either the US is about to commit an unprecedented act of voluntary collective suicide, or these polls will prove as predictive as 5-month-out polls have always been. It IS a mystery how so many can be deluded into supporting a madman. That's the real story. www.washingtonpost.com/elections/in...

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 25, 2024 at 01:20 UTC

Or was it a massive win for anti-misogyny and anti-theocracy? Let's talk in November.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 21, 2024 at 18:33 UTC

stranger things have happened ... but not much stranger

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 21, 2024 at 18:26 UTC

My dream: the Chevron decision will be the final nail in this corrupt SCOTUS's coffin. If the Dems manage to stumble into total victory, they will have all the ammo they need to reform the Court back to legitimacy: packing, term limits, enforceable ethics code, impeachments. Whatever works.

1 replies 0 reposts 6 likes

Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 19, 2024 at 00:33 UTC

Could someone please leave Greg Abbott in the middle of a Texas field and see how long he lasts before begging for a drink of water? Now that would be entertainment.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 17, 2024 at 19:58 UTC

What Are We Talking About When We Talk About Collapse? I just published a long piece proposing that collapse will pass thru 4 waves: environmental, economic, political, & population. We're at the start of the 2nd wave. Friend link: medium.com/@sjgenco/wha...
#climatechange #collapse #survival

1 replies 2 reposts 3 likes

Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 03, 2024 at 21:33 UTC

Yes, they're essential saying they agree he's human scum, they just want you to know he's THEIR human scum and he should be yours too. A winning campaign message if I ever heard one.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 03, 2024 at 21:31 UTC

I don't know, Phil. There's still a lot of noise out there. Polling is performative, a chance to reaffirm your allegiances. People are doing a lot of that this week. But ultimately, it's the squishies in the middle who will decide this thing. Perceptions may be baked in, but turnout isn't.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 03, 2024 at 21:19 UTC

You could say all Republicans love Trump. You could also say nothing is left of the Republican Party except the lovers of Trump. After he loses in November, and retires into Trial & Appeal World, there will simply be no there there. The GOP brand will be as toxic as Elon Musk's chin hair.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Jun 01, 2024 at 00:56 UTC

Dunning-Kruger

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] May 31, 2024 at 14:54 UTC

cosplay

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Reposted by Steve G

Paul Waldman @paulwaldman.bsky.social
[ View ] May 24, 2024 at 14:12 UTC

Democrats need to make the Supreme Court - not just Dobbs, but the threat posed by the court itself - a bigger issue in the campaign. I make the case at MSNBC:

10 replies 106 reposts 305 likes

Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] May 24, 2024 at 19:40 UTC

At least Cotton isn't a fake wannabe fascist like most of the other cosplay candidates. This boy has been a dyed-in-the-wool fascist since Day 1. Really, really would like to slaughter some American citizens. A truly reprehensible sociopath and a perfect pairing for Diaper Don.

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Reposted by Steve G

Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social
[ View ] May 23, 2024 at 15:11 UTC

I hope people understand that what we are seeing is the systematic destruction of the civil war amendments by the Supreme Court, which are what made America and actual democracy and upon which all minority rights in the United States rely

50 replies 1390 reposts 3396 likes

Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] May 11, 2024 at 18:07 UTC

I think ... Justice Thomas, let me check this ... yes, in order to truthfully call something a lie, it actually has to be a lie. Happy to clarify. What is it you do for a living, again?

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] May 10, 2024 at 18:00 UTC

I'm with you. People forget how self-destructive Trump is. This is another example of him confusing his little cult with the whole electorate. Both conviction & jail will hurt his, he's just not smart enough to realize it. Trump is Biden's biggest asset.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 20, 2024 at 23:43 UTC

Stated more succinctly: "My little peanut brain can't imagine anything I'd like to do as President that ISN'T a crime, so ... immunity!"

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 20, 2024 at 21:20 UTC

why when I see that image it always reminds me of this image???

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 19, 2024 at 00:00 UTC

Back in my days as a political scientist, I experienced this many times. I also found that other political scientists could be just as wrong about things I knew were true. Then, as I got older, I learned most of what I thought was true back then was also wrong. Epistemic humility for all, please.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 13, 2024 at 21:48 UTC

Let's just pretend there is nothing distinctive and non-representative about 1,000 people who choose to pick up the phone vs. 93,000 people who choose not to. Polling is no longer about info-gathering, it's about performance art.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 11, 2024 at 00:22 UTC

Opinion polls have evolved from honestly answering questions to performance art. Everybody knows the "right" answer & will provide it on demand. Weighting is used to get any response you want. I'm still a big fan of Zaller & Feldman's 1992 "“A simple theory of the survey response". You?

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 10, 2024 at 20:46 UTC

guilty-as-sin guy says what?

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 09, 2024 at 23:14 UTC

Nice cosmetics, but I'm pretty sure all our adversaries' intelligence services have known where to find the good stuff for some time now. (horse, meet barn door)

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 09, 2024 at 23:05 UTC

#NYTimes says today "the United States now sits almost evenly divided between #Dems and #Repubs" But in the fine print, we see the data for this claim is from a Aug 2023 Pew survey. Writing about an 8 month old survey as "now" seems a little iffy to me. www.nytimes.com/2024/04/09/u...

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Apr 04, 2024 at 19:22 UTC

Thank goodness nobody who will actually decide the outcome of this election (the undecided and politically inert) reads the New York Times.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 29, 2024 at 22:54 UTC

Does Donald Trump qualify for pretrial detention? Criterion is: threat to safety of the community. Glenn Kirschner on MSNBC today:

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 25, 2024 at 19:41 UTC

When you're allowed to cheat, it's not that hard. Trump's next goal: beating Kim Jong-Il's 38 under par, including 11 holes-in-one, reported in N Korean news in 1994. And it was the first round of golf he'd ever played. You need to up your lying game, Donnie!

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 25, 2024 at 19:24 UTC

#DavidCalhoun was a disaster at Nielsen well before he was a disaster at #Boeing. It always amazes me that guys like this always seem to fail UP. not down. Looking forward to his next big CEO job, maybe in #energy, #insurance, or #healthcare?

1 replies 1 reposts 1 likes

Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 22, 2024 at 16:23 UTC

Thanks for doing the due diligence on this, Mitchell. Given that #Trump 's drop dead date is in 3 days, not 6 months, this is essentially a non-issue. Interesting that #WaPo mentions the lockup in the headline, #NYTimes waits til the next to last paragraph.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 19, 2024 at 22:43 UTC

Reads better in the original Russian, I think.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 19, 2024 at 22:40 UTC

Where would #Trump be without having the Times to carry his water for him?

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 19, 2024 at 22:38 UTC

Greg Abbott would like to do at the southern border what Bibi Netanyahu is doing in Gaza. He's just been given carte blanche by our totally compromised SCOTUS. Six "conservatives" have ruined that institution. SCOTUS now reflects neither the rule of law nor majority American values.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 17, 2024 at 19:25 UTC

It took years for the #NYTimes to reluctantly start using the words "liar" and "lies" in #Trump stories. How long before they're willing to use the word "deranged"? Or maybe "existential threat to democracy & the survival of humanity"?

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Mar 02, 2024 at 00:16 UTC

This may not be as positive as you seem to think it is.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 18:11 UTC

Learned some valuable minutia about how the House actually works along the way. Well worth the temporary freakout.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 18:08 UTC

Adding this here: The fundamental flaw in this story is the idea that Johnson would still be Speaker at noon on Jan 3 (he would not) and that he could refuse certificates willy nilly to create a GOP majority (he could not). So, assuming Dems get a majority in Nov, this scenario is impossible. Whew!

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 18:07 UTC

The fundamental flaw in the story is the idea that Johnson would still be Speaker at noon on Jan 3 (he would not) and that he could refuse certificates willy nilly to create a GOP majority (he could not). So, assuming Dems get a majority in Nov, this scenario is impossible. Whew! /2

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 18:06 UTC

I recently asked for feedback on an article by Thom Hartmann describing a doomsday scenario in which Mike Johnson could essentially nullify an elected Dem majority in the House and throw the House, and then the Presidency, to the GOP. Since I put it out, I want to roll it back. 1/

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 17:57 UTC

Thanks for this detailed reply, Peter. So the flaw is the idea that Johnson would still be Speaker at noon on Jan 3 (he would not) and he could refuse certificates willy nilly to create a GOP majority (he could not). So, assuming Dems get a majority in Nov, this scenario is impossible. Whew!

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 02:07 UTC

by all means, show me the holes!

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 01:51 UTC

I hope you're right, but I can't see the DOJ launching Smith's Jan 6 trial 2 months before the election. It would be seen as a massive thumb on the scales. The MAGA right would explode and it might even get Trump elected.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 01:46 UTC

Just getting my sea legs here on Bluesky. I'm wondering if people have seen this article by Thom Hartmann, and what you all think about it.

Trump could take over even if Biden gets 270+ electoral votes. Don't read on a full stomach.
hartmannreport.com/p/the-new-ov...

1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes

Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 01:42 UTC

Garland decides whether to prosecute. Without that, there's nothing for the judge to handle.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 01:22 UTC

If you're interested in how Trump could take over even if Biden gets 270+ electoral votes, read this (but, I suggest, not right before eating).
hartmannreport.com/p/the-new-ov...

1 replies 1 reposts 0 likes

Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 29, 2024 at 01:17 UTC

Marick Garland will not allow a trial to start in Sept. Violates the DOJ "guideline" (nothing mandatory about it) that they don't do stuff during the Fall campaign. Unless it's Comey. And unless it's Hillary. But it will never, ever be Trump.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 16, 2024 at 00:23 UTC

My immediate thought was that the clown who wrote this letter, Bradley Weinsheimer, might be a Trump appointee leftover. A quick google says "oh yeah". Appointed Assoc Deputy Attorney General & Pardon Attorney in 2018, Assoc Deputy Attorney General in 2019. Pardon Attorney! What a job!

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 16, 2024 at 00:11 UTC

More civilized than Tennessee, I see.

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Steve G @sjgenco.bsky.social
[ View ] Feb 13, 2024 at 00:32 UTC

I remember reading some social psych studies that attempted to show this name-as-destiny effect. More people named Louis living in St. Louis. More dentists named Dennis or Denise. Then they were all debunked for shoddy statistics.

0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes