My perhaps lukewarm take is that is actually very bad news for Trump - people really start paying attention to the election after Labor Day, and he'll be getting sentenced after Labor Day. There will be no time to appeal before the election. He may very well be in jail on election day.
The one caveat I'd give to that is that he'd be barred by Rooker-Feldman from filing something in Federal court to get out of jail before his state court appeals run their course, but Federal courts are just Calvinball these days so who knows.
out of curiosity, what would the process look like here? sentencing on sept 18, then assuming he gets prison time (I defer to you on the likelihood here), how quickly does he appeal/are you thinking he wouldn't be allowed out on appeal?
This is one way in which his delay game is high stakes. If he can scrounge delay past November, that's one thing, but as-is, he just keeps pushing everything to the critical period.
And while trial proper in J6 now is indefinitely delayed, the new mini-trials SCOTUS ordered won't be spectacle free.
If the People's sentencing recommendation is granted, is that the court accepting the recommendation as being filed, or the court will sentence the defendant as recommended?
Keep in mind his co-conspirators (the entire Republican Party) will be using the interim to Calvin Ball the conviction itself into oblivion before we get there.