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WeatherTiger@weathertiger.bsky.social |
Let's look at what influences hurricane seasons. This boils down to whether:1) The Tropical Atlantic is warmer (favorable) or cooler (unfavorable) than normal; 2) The Pacific is in an El Nino (unfavorable) or La Nina (favorable) state during the peak of the season (Aug-Oct).
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WeatherTiger
@weathertiger.bsky.social
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Right off the bat, we can see that the Tropical Atlantic is absurdly warm in spring 2024. That might change somewhat between now and August, but the Atlantic is so warm that it's highly probable it will remain at least above normal. That's favorable for hurricane activity.
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