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WeatherTiger@weathertiger.bsky.social |
Right off the bat, we can see that the Tropical Atlantic is absurdly warm in spring 2024. That might change somewhat between now and August, but the Atlantic is so warm that it's highly probable it will remain at least above normal. That's favorable for hurricane activity.
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WeatherTiger
@weathertiger.bsky.social
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In the Pacific, an El Nino lingers, but it's about to fall apart like a paper straw. Cooler waters at depth will surface in the next few months, and at least a weak La Nina is likely by August. That means less wind shear to keep storms in check in the Caribbean and W. Atlantic.
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