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WeatherTiger@weathertiger.bsky.social |
In the Pacific, an El Nino lingers, but it's about to fall apart like a paper straw. Cooler waters at depth will surface in the next few months, and at least a weak La Nina is likely by August. That means less wind shear to keep storms in check in the Caribbean and W. Atlantic.
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WeatherTiger
@weathertiger.bsky.social
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Putting those together, that means 2024 is going to be in rare company, amongst just 8 other years since 1950 to have a cool Pacific and very warm Atlantic. Six of these eight years were "hyperactive" Atlantic hurricane seasons, with 60-150% more activity than normal.
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